MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe95a1350854c86fee0345467e1b9bd29a9418cb822100cbb2b8eb1a4c372fd49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 12,385$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.42 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 10,267$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.26 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,871$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.1 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.97 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 7c | 3,750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 3,617$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.43 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Under | 6c | 3,470$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Under | 6c | 3,470$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Under | 6c | 3,470$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Over | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 7c | 1,900$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 1,232$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.83 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 1,204$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Under | 8c | 1,200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 52c | 990.62$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.5 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 49c | 990$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 51c | 968.48$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.56 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 939.88$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 47c | 800$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 49c | 795.45$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.77 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 49c | 790.74$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.98 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Under | 4c | 585.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 585.1$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 51c | 580.2$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 577.95$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Under | 4c | 542.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 2c | 534.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +597.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 526.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.39 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 50c | 522.83$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 5cpaid | +609.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 47c | 498.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.61 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Over | 50c | 494.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Under | 6c | 493.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 51c | 487.2$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Under | 7c | 401.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 53c | 398.63$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.14 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 49c | 368.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 344.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.54 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 339.08$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 293.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 262.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 250.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 52c | 209.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 52c | 206.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 185.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 53c | 183.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 52c | 176.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 165.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 151.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 142$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 51c | 141.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 53c | 139.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 137.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 127.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 125.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 51c | 118.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 48c | 110.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 53c | 104.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Under | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 49c | 100.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 49c | 92.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…08f3backed Under | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 51c | 87.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 72c | 87.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Over | 58c | 83.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 80.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 76.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed Under | 23c | 73.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 47c | 70.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 70.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 51c | 68.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 68.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Under | 17c | 66.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 60.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 56.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.