MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9cb69bc67a9929c352cd9125cdd6634ba27ed439a89909d88ed1694b48b32b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Baltimore Orioles, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 21,050$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.87 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 19,220$9,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,118.78 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 13,972$7,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.31 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…97a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 12,334$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 8,315$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.44 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 8,063$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.84 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 6,600$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.86 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 6,217$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.72 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 4,980$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.61 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,937$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.45 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 3,573$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.35 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 3,539$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.22 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 3,512$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.65 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 2,510$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.38 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 2,300$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.68 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,237$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.59 | 242 | 50%121 W · 121 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.41 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 2,093$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,072$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.1 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 1,838$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 1,733$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,651$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.69 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,172$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.08 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 1,063$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.94 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 984.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 945.88$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 945.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 682.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 655$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…4613backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 639.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 620.97$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.95 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 534.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 513.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6386…019ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 477.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 422.51$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 395.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 393.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 362.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 347.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 268.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 247.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 222.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 211.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 205.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 200.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 200.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 195.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 194.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 186.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…19c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 183.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 183.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 178.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 175.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 174.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…02b9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 166.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 165.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 164.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 154.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 150.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 150.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 144.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 143$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…77fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 135.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 132.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 128.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 124.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 124.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 124.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 122.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2cedbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 118.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 111.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 108.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 104.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 104.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 100.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…5623backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…c150backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 94.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…129dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 93.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…a7dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.