TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff19…19c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$34.27
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.12
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.3
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencicbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.56
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$44.3
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzschbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$65.29
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Sofia Keninbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Menorca: Daniel Rincon vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.23
Sao Leopoldo: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$31.04
Menorca: Norbert Gombos vs Ivan Gakhovbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.78
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$75.05
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.81
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$54.23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$26.66
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.96
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$66.33
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.89
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$79.12
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.04
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$70.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$30.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.