TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2128…da98backed No73c12,028$8,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No69c11,584$7,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.063852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No74c7,833$5,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.483641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c7,506$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.312,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes26c5,129$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.62825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c4,456$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.3916819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c3,814$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.8848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed No74c3,618$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No70c3,507$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.144955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes28c3,401$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.883167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c3,176$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.4268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,060$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.1613517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c2,998$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1312731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No73c2,584$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.593060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes31c2,403$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes19c2,215$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.042835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes14c2,092$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.163420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes9c2,017$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.133221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes8c1,890$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.177424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes32c1,799$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.521915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Yes9c1,744$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes27c1,530$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.088941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes26c1,458$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No72c1,321$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.76666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes8c1,163$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.792634.6%9 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+75.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes27c1,065$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.622920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c1,017$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No71c972.77$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.17763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes22c866.55$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.643345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes21c806.89$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.971450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No69c791.29$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.32343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes28c702.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.721947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes26c681.25$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.133167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.84156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes32c640$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes16c638.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c599.98$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c599.51$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No74c588.74$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.934742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c576.47$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes31c500.95$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.294738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Yes14c473.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes11c473.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0613350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed No74c402.81$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes29c373.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.191546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes16c360.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2612044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.625547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.622356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd2…2f38backed Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce2…4d84backed Yes14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes8c318.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.513125.8%8 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes26c301.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.491435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes24c299.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7114748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes16c295.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.828229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8419…4d80backed No74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad88…a88dbacked Yes28c263.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes10c255.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.811118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes27c240$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+68.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes9c239.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes8c236.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes30c233.85$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes22c218.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.653630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes9c210.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9112232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8979…3e4abacked Yes26c202$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+418%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Yes26c201.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc794…d010backed Yes24c201.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No76c198$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.924339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes7c197.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No74c196.92$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes28c194.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…2bc1backed Yes27c191.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No74c189.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.45259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No71c181.05$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.855076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8561…337bbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b4a…7798backed Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+174.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.812842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-81.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes14c172.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-74.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed No73c169.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…19c0backed No74c160.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec2…80c0backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No68c141.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.222166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes17c139.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.767138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes14c128.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0519353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes9c126.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3415238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…47d2backed Yes9c125.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714c…3c1dbacked Yes15c124.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes27c123.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.478617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes27c120.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes31c110.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.254445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No74c106.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6715755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0350%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes20c99.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.885038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9790…b314backed Yes27c99.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes31c98.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.686040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Yes24c98.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No73c98.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.566560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.