TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes30c22,006$6,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,432.864254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes24c19,621$4,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,847.822240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c19,521$14,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,733.7596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c13,425$9,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,984.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes24c10,054$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,640.96944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c9,970$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.7198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c5,099$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.2732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c4,771$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.4149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes25c3,820$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8651915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No70c3,733$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.772055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No71c3,584$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.934553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c3,324$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.1893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No18c2,809$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Yes65c2,617$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c2,164$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.861,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No50c1,800$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.665244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No47c1,740$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3611053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed No72c1,542$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…5981backed No1c1,324$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No76c1,154$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No48c1,080$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.6722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c975$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.518951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4e…fbfbbacked Yes68c802.86$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes29c800.02$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.4541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No48c683.44$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0212044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes25c537.35$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.46933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes29c497.85$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.472055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes77c493.53$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No56c465.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.729149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…e87dbacked Yes78c450.77$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No52c396.92$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.734445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes25c385.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.881435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No15c336.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes30c322.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.256822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.538644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c308.75$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes33c283.02$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No10c274.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.47911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-85.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked No23c255.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.62119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-74.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No70c220$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No43c211.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.953545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…02fcbacked No77c204.48$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes79c200$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c196.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.536560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c193.4$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb804…cd66backed Yes25c191$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.254100%4 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+392.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes25c191$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2510757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes67c183.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8314159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes28c180$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.615844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No77c179.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4610451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed No71c179.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes56c173.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.133080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.26628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes62c148.56$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8418253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No71c147.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.656070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No66c144.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.172166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed No10c141.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes29c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.415844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes24c139.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.783948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed No71c138.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No55c136.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.953243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.324374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes30c124.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c123.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6711667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3ab…5985backed No56c121.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes24c119.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.675547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes24c119.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes57c119.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2719154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes29c115.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.046358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes25c114.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.955038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No10c108.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.897042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c106.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1713146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed No72c106.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No40c105.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8921748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…6d30backed Yes28c101.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8209…bff8backed No17c100.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes24c99.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.564337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes24c99.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5610147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.324647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.326850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No71c98.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes25c95.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.638617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes24c95.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.533324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes22c95.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.356040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes32c89.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.151450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No75c88.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.497763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e28…0557backed No71c88.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+72.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes24c87.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Yes24c86.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+310%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No41c82.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6813157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No45c81.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9520431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No42c79.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3613445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c77.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6320749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No71c76.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.533773%27 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.