Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03fda59b9a44363ea583a95bdb65226fb59cd221d367e7b5d8f49ba750aef214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,157,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,185,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 45c | 327,854$145,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,963.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 56c | 120,200$66,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,432.92 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 45c | 104,148$46,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,866.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,999.86 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 55c | 88,855$49,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,735.37 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 56c | 83,876$46,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,277.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 54c | 55,555$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,555.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 56c | 55,084$30,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,329.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 44c | 54,757$24,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,161.89 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed No | 56c | 50,675$28,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,297 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 33,478$14,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,331.41 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 56c | 32,898$18,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,593.49 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 56c | 32,857$18,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,552.07 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 31,956$17,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,274.72 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…de22backed No | 55c | 30,932$17,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,919.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 25,744$14,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,527.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 56c | 23,292$12,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,359.02 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 56c | 18,902$10,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.1 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 17,349$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.26 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 15,834$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.62 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 56c | 15,555$8,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844.2 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 55c | 14,175$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.02 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 55c | 11,967$6,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.42 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 69c | 11,338$7,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,852.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 55c | 10,022$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 43c | 9,208$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.42 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 55c | 8,958$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.71 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 8,731$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.42 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 7,789$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.07 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 55c | 7,323$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 55c | 7,172$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.18 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 6,517$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.21 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 56c | 5,842$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.3 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Yes | 45c | 5,600$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 44c | 5,491$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 5,405$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.45 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 57c | 5,163$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 5,133$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.81 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 46c | 4,838$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 4,681$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.81 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 4,558$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 55c | 4,336$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 45c | 4,272$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.97 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 55c | 3,892$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.4 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 67c | 3,647$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 58c | 3,467$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.67 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 3,408$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.34 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 3,141$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.85 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 55c | 3,105$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 68c | 3,029$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 56c | 2,921$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.15 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed No | 56c | 2,906$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 46c | 2,903$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.29 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 2,828$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.5 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,740$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 45c | 2,376$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 55c | 2,255$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,202$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.93 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 68c | 2,135$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.58 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 56c | 2,104$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked No | 55c | 2,055$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.76 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 2,032$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.41 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 55c | 2,025$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 54c | 2,003$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.38 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked No | 55c | 1,973$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +274.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 1,793$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.71 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 55c | 1,780$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.17 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked No | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 1,752$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.09 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,677$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 33c | 1,371$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.47 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 28c | 1,364$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 44c | 1,296$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed No | 55c | 1,295$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 32c | 1,273$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.25 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 55c | 1,235$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 56c | 1,221$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 56c | 1,217$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed No | 56c | 1,208$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Yes | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…ac9ebacked No | 55c | 1,136$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…1e02backed Yes | 44c | 1,110$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.98 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Yes | 50c | 1,085$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed No | 55c | 1,044$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 56c | 1,042$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 44c | 1,032$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 41c | 1,027$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.65 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.04 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.