Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896556df2beee1d73545ac5a97d709f462eb2e061500fc090cf5625fbdfb95c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,289,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,413,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,289,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 37c | 313,801$114,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,088.47 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 64c | 260,866$166,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,332.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 63c | 160,213$100,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,933.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 37c | 83,384$30,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,513.44 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 38c | 81,848$31,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,745.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 37c | 79,190$29,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,889.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 62c | 67,356$41,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,760.78 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 39c | 63,610$24,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,949.21 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 63c | 61,423$38,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,696.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 64c | 53,749$34,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,237.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 39c | 44,506$17,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,324.86 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 63c | 38,897$24,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,504.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 37c | 38,843$14,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,471.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 34,322$12,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,069.27 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked Yes | 6c | 34,263$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.54 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 36c | 33,656$12,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,539.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 32,597$12,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,536.16 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 31,599$11,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,223.33 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 29,521$14,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,207.76 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 60c | 26,810$16,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,142.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 36c | 20,803$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,314.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 63c | 20,535$12,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,936.91 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd56…048fbacked Yes | 59c | 18,665$11,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,012.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 41c | 18,607$7,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,628.69 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 58c | 16,979$9,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,921.48 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 64c | 16,816$10,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,762.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Yes | 63c | 16,781$10,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,572.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 16,324$8,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,221.34 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 64c | 16,123$10,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,318.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 36c | 15,870$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,156.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 63c | 15,681$9,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,879.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 36c | 14,738$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,432.33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 65c | 12,707$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,259.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 12,346$6,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,086.94 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 12,262$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,923.57 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 12,142$8,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.3 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 36c | 11,232$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,188.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 64c | 10,865$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945.11 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 10,400$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,552.01 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 35c | 10,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.83 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 52c | 9,485$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.89 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 9,442$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.57 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…6baabacked Yes | 64c | 9,357$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 34c | 9,114$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 38c | 9,083$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.62 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.83 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 35c | 8,752$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.62 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 58c | 8,542$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…c91ebacked Yes | 63c | 8,411$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 37c | 8,333$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 35c | 8,305$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 7,264$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576.19 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 7,232$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.41 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 7,132$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.91 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 63c | 6,984$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…22e4backed Yes | 63c | 6,208$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…a7b7backed No | 36c | 6,133$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…c333backed Yes | 65c | 6,025$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 33c | 6,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 33c | 5,996$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Yes | 59c | 5,637$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…433dbacked No | 36c | 5,437$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,195$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.07 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.92 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 36c | 4,765$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 63c | 4,517$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…0da5backed Yes | 64c | 4,495$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 36c | 4,410$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 52c | 4,234$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.55 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 60c | 4,200$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.28 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 63c | 4,200$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 65c | 4,127$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.27 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed Yes | 63c | 4,040$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 63c | 4,009$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.66 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…6ac6backed Yes | 64c | 3,979$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 63c | 3,880$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 37c | 3,849$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.74 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 36c | 3,846$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 64c | 3,822$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Yes | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 43c | 3,381$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 44c | 3,232$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.98 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 36c | 3,205$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 47c | 3,173$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.38 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 71c | 3,171$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 36c | 3,126$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 6c | 3,106$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 46c | 3,077$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.56 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes | 64c | 3,035$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 64c | 3,010$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Yes | 64c | 2,981$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 36c | 2,885$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.27 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Yes | 68c | 2,885$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 37c | 2,780$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.