Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792add15044f520a3ac1e6b4d5d76cc5cf19289ac862141f4b5a3072abe2833e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 22c | 30,619$6,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,882.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 22,984$18,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,056.24 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 20,512$13,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,894.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 14,678$8,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,528.31 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 78c | 6,455$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.74 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 79c | 4,968$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.8 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 4,526$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.11 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 4,350$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.23 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Yes | 22c | 4,324$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 50c | 4,253$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 3,465$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.91 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…81a1backed No | 64c | 3,149$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.95 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes | 22c | 2,975$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 2,687$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.93 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 51c | 2,632$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.61 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 29c | 2,632$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.23 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,631$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.2 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 2,596$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.37 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 39c | 2,546$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.04 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 66c | 2,487$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 28c | 1,921$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.93 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 32c | 1,873$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 60c | 1,822$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.61 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 1,739$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 66c | 1,658$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.41 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Yes | 23c | 1,621$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked Yes | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,502$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,483$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…2a4ebacked No | 68c | 1,455$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 26c | 1,421$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.86 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 78c | 1,180$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 22c | 1,179$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.23 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…e047backed Yes | 60c | 1,155$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 21c | 1,143$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 18c | 1,104$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.38 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,082$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 1,037$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 75c | 995.68$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Yes | 22c | 987.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 37c | 974.82$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.81 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 22c | 953.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.5 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 21c | 952.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 36c | 939.48$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.27 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 76c | 899.02$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 22c | 866.55$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes | 49c | 697.39$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…c150backed Yes | 44c | 664.77$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…cf32backed No | 63c | 641.37$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 21c | 640$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…a526backed Yes | 23c | 622.04$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 35c | 604.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 21c | 576$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.04 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 66c | 564.58$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…a1e4backed Yes | 22c | 550.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 545.91$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.81 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…e440backed Yes | 22c | 542.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.9 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 501.41$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.29 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 470.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.31 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 24c | 460.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 66c | 457.21$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.76 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Yes | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…0056backed Yes | 21c | 445.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 79c | 445.32$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 47c | 441.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 24c | 434.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…b803backed Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…1475backed Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…a80dbacked Yes | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes | 69c | 425.53$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 399.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked No | 78c | 399.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…79d2backed No | 79c | 394.96$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 79c | 394.96$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked No | 64c | 393.64$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 75c | 384.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…4972backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 46c | 358.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 354.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.87 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes | 22c | 346.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 22c | 320.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.09 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 299.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 70c | 294.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Yes | 21c | 291$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.