TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35f1…1475

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$455.56
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$337.95
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405.6
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$1,090.32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+583.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+5,210.8%+$5,210.82
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$809.09
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$452.13
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$960.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.