F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa21711b671bf172ecb60aaf237fcea4fb88a3125ba24e7e6e92c38a7667df879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yes | 2c | 13,500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 4c | 11,994$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 4c | 10,682$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,123$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 3c | 6,302$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 3c | 4,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,659$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 3c | 3,340$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 3c | 3,306$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…0179backed Yes | 7c | 3,036$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…1475backed Yes | 3c | 2,932$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,683$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 4c | 2,530$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Yes | 4c | 2,502$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 4c | 2,054$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,736$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Yes | 2c | 1,583$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 1,438$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 8c | 1,302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked Yes | 7c | 1,250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,147$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,056$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…9cf8backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes | 3c | 1,005$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Yes | 7c | 1,001$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 4c | 971.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 3c | 934.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcf…c342backed Yes | 5c | 931.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Yes | 4c | 807.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…b9c9backed Yes | 3c | 805.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 7c | 791.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…de2abacked Yes | 3c | 773.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes | 8c | 723.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 721.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 5c | 699.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 682.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…6b6dbacked Yes | 2c | 656.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…01e5backed Yes | 2c | 654.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 4c | 625$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 5c | 601.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Yes | 5c | 576.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 6c | 576.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…7dd0backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…e6a9backed Yes | 4c | 535.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 2c | 515.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…0450backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 4c | 491.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…a9f2backed Yes | 2c | 475.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4123…f383backed Yes | 3c | 448.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…6058backed Yes | 6c | 440.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 3c | 420.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…1f9fbacked Yes | 4c | 364.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 3c | 347.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…d124backed Yes | 5c | 318.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes | 5c | 288.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yes | 8c | 279.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed Yes | 5c | 246.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…3c3abacked Yes | 4c | 228.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…6f36backed Yes | 16c | 182.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d18…c3d6backed Yes | 8c | 147.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e0…7d88backed Yes | 10c | 144.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 8c | 132.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…473cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 80c | 43.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 68c | 14.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.