F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9fe83347ee18f4ba8b980aee57062865f13a10d4b3d1565ce0668a69f85161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 4c | 14,661$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.53 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Yes | 3c | 14,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 2c | 5,029$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9745…efe5backed Yes | 2c | 4,782$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 2c | 4,024$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,707$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…44b7backed Yes | 2c | 3,176$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 2c | 3,095$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…ce07backed Yes | 1c | 2,517$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Yes | 2c | 2,381$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 3c | 1,930$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 13c | 1,490$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 2c | 1,453$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes | 5c | 1,399$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,349$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…01e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,247$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…cf81backed Yes | 6c | 1,175$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Yes | 1c | 1,082$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 2c | 967.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes | 3c | 913.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 11c | 888$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…d124backed Yes | 2c | 851.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…d1e7backed Yes | 2c | 844.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 731.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 6c | 702.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21b4backed Yes | 2c | 633.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes | 13c | 598.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed Yes | 9c | 524.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Yes | 13c | 400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 9c | 357.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…151ebacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130d…ab10backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…901abacked Yes | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 13c | 284.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yes | 12c | 205.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f60…fd20backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Yes | 13c | 182.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 13c | 122.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 24c | 117.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 113.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…926abacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…0970backed Yes | 14c | 75.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 79c | 42.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.