TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed No0c37,356$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No50c23,069$11,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,579.064332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes60c15,729$9,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,25011547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked No36c12,269$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,461.891618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes20c10,879$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,692.385334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes18c10,516$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,608.6712523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No67c8,929$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,003.25662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes35c8,517$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,517.371520%3 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+171.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No32c8,131$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed No69c7,283$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No49c5,902$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.543151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbccb…31e2backed Yes4c5,186$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,965.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+1,076.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c5,102$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.167545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes32c5,000$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3878330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes21c4,321$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.69223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No79c3,758$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.816235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes56c3,557$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.043652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes35c3,242$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.116410.9%7 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No3c3,100$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf2…2ce6backed No33c3,050$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.59825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No62c2,840$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.471338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed No64c2,759$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes17c2,725$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.883716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…38cebacked No70c2,461$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No66c2,424$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No71c2,364$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.077643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes32c2,355$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No67c2,230$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.188127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf505…4c26backed Yes27c2,049$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.271346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+132.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes33c2,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.996732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes31c1,999$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.74425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Yes30c1,977$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes8c1,873$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.8811836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes36c1,828$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.532213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes12c1,826$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.3412353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked No31c1,804$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…8008backed No5c1,803$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes37c1,732$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.0710128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No24c1,712$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.481942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes10c1,652$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.026819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b9f…018fbacked No49c1,644$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes50c1,639$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Yes32c1,600$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a29…90efbacked Yes52c1,594$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7641833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes36c1,564$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed Yes33c1,555$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ea…b601backed No66c1,517$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No22c1,442$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.484946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No67c1,348$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.917950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No65c1,288$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.1110652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes33c1,286$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.31850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No51c1,166$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.533256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No17c1,133$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed No70c1,129$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.4640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes37c1,083$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes52c1,076$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.037944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No64c1,074$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.9514458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes18c1,060$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.410142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes14c1,042$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.924720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes33c1,010$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.172334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes33c1,000$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes10c1,000$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8979164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes33c990.48$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.672227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f3…5976backed Yes74c986.75$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Yes4c983.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+181.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed No6c935.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.31100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No68c932.68$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.09911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes3c930.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.0114429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No47c913.72$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.993636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes33c885.51$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.061926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Yes69c882.94$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes34c867.58$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.948939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes35c823.77$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.775418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…c05ebacked Yes4c811$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+1,251.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes5c799.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.195022%11 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes30c770$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.884148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No74c756.54$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.244852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No65c746.69$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked No68c739.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked No16c735.34$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.391435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…1ae4backed Yes33c735$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+134.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes38c700.46$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes73c680.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes6c623.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1511637.9%44 W · 72 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff1f…4324backed Yes37c597.5$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fa…f8c9backed Yes35c564.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes47c539.35$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.281050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No30c534.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.894551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes75c503.41$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.965317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes9c500$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.256336.5%23 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes31c488.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.822927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes80c465.47$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.222955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes36c449.9$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No66c447.74$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes39c409.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.161643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No64c400$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.27115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x953f…7518backed No64c399.95$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No4c389$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a80…6b2bbacked Yes20c387.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.53837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.