TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9243…658ebacked Yes5c14,580$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-61.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No71c12,132$8,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.334332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes42c11,676$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.0711547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes0c5,350$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-63.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes24c4,577$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.245334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Yes7c3,854$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1340%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes6c3,150$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4613219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060e…ac12backed Yes6c3,143$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes33c2,988$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.19164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes15c2,867$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No74c2,768$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes4c2,457$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.366819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes4c2,355$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes5c2,044$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.95425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,032$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.66591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c2,003$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.27133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c1,969$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.055317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes12c1,954$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.833716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes24c1,837$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…c05ebacked Yes6c1,818$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+1,251.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No72c1,501$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.427545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed No60c1,500$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No72c1,174$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.613636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4454…f6bfbacked Yes27c1,160$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No78c1,141$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes44c1,110$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+61.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No77c1,082$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.823256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Yes4c1,030$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.66100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes3c994.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.74244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-88.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbccb…31e2backed Yes2c964.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick3cpaid+1,076.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No80c959.16$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4210837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b1…8c9dbacked Yes7c943.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb9…f582backed Yes6c877.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes4c831.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9424720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a29…90efbacked Yes53c750.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…8fa2backed Yes9c699.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0160%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No77c692.38$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.234148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes3c656.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6614429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83e0…bbe7backed Yes3c644.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked No49c626$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca8…ecd4backed Yes50c601.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed No56c599.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+195.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked No64c599.45$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes47c598.23$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.068027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes45c597.32$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Yes3c565$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+181.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b1…01e5backed Yes5c562.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes54c555.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No58c554.95$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.34551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No51c549.03$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.512360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes44c529.03$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes12c500.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes40c490.18$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae9…3e79backed Yes4c478.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+292.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes14c462.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.451850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes2c438.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.861136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes6c437.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-83.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes4c403.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c400$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No74c370.27$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No58c362.75$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes27c301.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2df…5208backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4123…f383backed Yes5c286.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf295…0335backed Yes41c248.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.572433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes29c247.52$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.811845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Yes5c246.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.086336.5%23 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes6c240$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No65c235.88$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.792661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Yes52c234$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed Yes10c233.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes15c223.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.016325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes37c207$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.55619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes50c201.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-73.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed Yes9c200.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked No48c200.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…36d2backed Yes29c190.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.012955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Yes47c188.41$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes40c184.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.910652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x944e…96a8backed Yes56c177.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes38c176.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.371414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-75.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed No65c153.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No71c150.49$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes17c140.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.687233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa220…4c66backed Yes23c137.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes27c134.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6646…0460backed Yes47c128.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf483…858abacked Yes39c128.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac8…cdd2backed Yes34c123.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No71c118.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.241770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No61c108.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.976100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+114.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2536…5ae3backed Yes47c107.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Yes39c98.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.77850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff1f…4324backed Yes36c93.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d6…8727backed Yes51c87.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No58c75.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.571747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.