TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Yes31c35,001$10,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,886.6612523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Yes8c15,045$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes16c12,808$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No70c10,151$7,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.444332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…38cebacked Yes2c8,977$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Yes16c8,951$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes18c8,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001520%3 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+171.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c6,898$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No69c6,318$4,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.1714356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No77c6,293$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.7910652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Yes22c4,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c4,345$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.057944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No78c3,939$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.635662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c3,038$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.035757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes20c2,773$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5645418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edd…6fe3backed Yes16c2,600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes16c2,503$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1510020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No67c2,493$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.897643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f1…91bdbacked Yes17c2,124$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes24c2,084$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c1,760$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5210128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No75c1,568$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.843467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Yes23c1,562$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.42633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No73c1,499$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4036235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes4c1,419$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0911547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c1,303$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.885317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes20c1,300$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391c…64c7backed No80c1,234$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Yes2c1,162$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.26100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No77c1,096$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No78c1,041$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b1…8c9dbacked Yes5c1,004$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee97…9436backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+109.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Yes4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes20c955.71$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.612227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9384…e025backed Yes22c896.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes20c895.93$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.322334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes20c866.29$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0824720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Yes19c863.5$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes24c794.1$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed No74c760$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.95635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No77c749.91$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.484852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes13c689.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6320843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ab…dc7ebacked Yes23c687.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes16c651.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.154136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes16c595.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.241612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes14c594.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.785619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed No71c569.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes18c555.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.962213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes22c512.82$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.169333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…33b0backed Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fa…f8c9backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes25c492.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.291827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Yes15c484.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No70c482.86$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No74c468.37$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.021850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No69c462$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.221643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes10c456.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.831118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-63.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No80c449$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No80c419.82$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.964472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes22c416.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.071050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No71c416.05$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.936100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef7…0a2dbacked No77c410.78$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.483100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No77c410.23$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8910837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff1f…4324backed Yes19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a29…90efbacked Yes25c393.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes21c388.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.86819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No74c358$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0810142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes19c356.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.68911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be4…b548backed Yes34c352$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.573727%10 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes26c340$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.44551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1487…8086backed Yes21c335.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes30c335$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No76c319.11$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.454266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes32c307.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes16c299.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No79c295.24$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6212246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…3589backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No79c275.14$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.522669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No76c273$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.633636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb94…ad5abacked Yes19c271.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed No77c259.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0992…9f46backed Yes28c238.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.26425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc5…af4bbacked Yes24c217.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes18c209.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7880%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x570a…e1f0backed Yes25c203.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes19c200.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.155022%11 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe2…768dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No69c199.97$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.053167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No77c199.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes21c195.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.579223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8a…9b9abacked Yes15c191.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked No80c181.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.