TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3613…59c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6920.3%14 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$184.72
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.96
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.55
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.01
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will G2 Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.83
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.02
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will The MongolZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will GamerLegion Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.91
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+200%+$27.99
Will magic Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350.12
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.59
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.04
Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.57
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.94
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+345.9%+$117.67
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.5
Will 1w Team Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.21
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+274.2%+$76.83
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+202.4%+$32.39
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Will GamerLegion Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Will Vici Gaming Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.09
Will Aurora Gaming Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$60.84
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.68
Will Vincent Keymer Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.56
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.45
Will Levon Aronian Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Jorden Van Foreest Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.49
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will Arjun Erigaisi Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+339.7%+$267.8
Will Wesley So Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
Will Anish Giri Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will Levon Aronian Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
Will Fabiano Caruana Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.83
Will Vincent Keymer Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.7
Will Arjun Erigaisi Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 24 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-63.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$57.15
Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.9
Will Ty Gibbs win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.01
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.01
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$23.12
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
All 8 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+209.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+321.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.26
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+419.7%+$124.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$26.67
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group Stagebacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.