Lol · resolved market
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe747d9f9734f79e939daf9a683560e5576c2daee20c33a5588c680c6f400fbb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 40c | 23,665$9,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,119.25 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 41c | 23,664$9,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,996.4 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…b103backed Yes | 60c | 22,018$13,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,100.94 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 18,019$7,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,415.6 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 33c | 15,179$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 13,914$7,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,572.02 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed Yes | 35c | 11,898$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.19 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 32c | 9,378$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 8,488$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 74c | 7,981$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.04 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 37c | 6,961$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.97 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 48c | 6,947$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 43c | 5,594$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.15 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…f002backed Yes | 28c | 5,100$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Yes | 29c | 5,086$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 62c | 4,846$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…af7bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,334$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 4,200$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 30c | 4,078$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.7 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 49c | 4,014$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.27 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 44c | 3,898$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 27c | 3,740$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 72c | 3,610$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.8 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 3,516$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.81 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Yes | 57c | 3,257$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.44 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…78e0backed No | 71c | 3,084$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…8309backed Yes | 27c | 3,006$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Yes | 60c | 2,900$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 29c | 2,802$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.13 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 2,649$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…fa55backed Yes | 38c | 2,645$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…8c5dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,638$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 54c | 2,605$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed No | 42c | 2,500$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,337$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.37 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 28c | 2,300$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Yes | 28c | 2,257$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 2,120$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…97eebacked Yes | 58c | 2,074$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…db6abacked Yes | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 1,764$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.45 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 41c | 1,737$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.34 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…8da3backed Yes | 31c | 1,657$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.82 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…9418backed Yes | 55c | 1,651$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…a65bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,573$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,523$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 27c | 1,515$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.71 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 1,492$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…cefdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,465$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Yes | 31c | 1,407$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…eb36backed No | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 72c | 1,258$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.24 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 1,201$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.62 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 53c | 1,140$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.49 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…15efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,135$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 42c | 1,128$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.81 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,128$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 42c | 1,100$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 26c | 1,013$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.57 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.04 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 57c | 997.31$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 51c | 985.22$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…9c7fbacked Yes | 45c | 978$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes | 42c | 963.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 38c | 917.97$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.95 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…7a7fbacked Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…ea72backed Yes | 63c | 899.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 65c | 899.63$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.86 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1915…6356backed Yes | 47c | 895.72$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Yes | 58c | 889.29$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.73 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 850.49$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 843.4$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Yes | 45c | 800.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.79 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f3…1045backed Yes | 24c | 799.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…ee90backed Yes | 56c | 797.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Yes | 37c | 782.76$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Yes | 36c | 778.53$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.27 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 776.61$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…53afbacked Yes | 34c | 766.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd43…dbbabacked No | 44c | 719.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…7d7cbacked Yes | 65c | 680.14$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 58c | 662.68$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 654.7$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4acabacked Yes | 40c | 649.13$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…36fcbacked Yes | 63c | 633.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Yes | 28c | 632.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 29c | 625.04$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Yes | 65c | 618.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked No | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?this page
- Will FURIA win MSI 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will Karmine Corp win MSI 2026?No won
- Will T1 win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Team Secret Whales win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Top Esports win MSI 2026?No won
- Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.