Lol · resolved market
Will T1 win MSI 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e85583fbd0841e3b0639ab685164eafb9ead6feda9a9b1bd7762c028f3155d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 77c | 68,567$53,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,461.1 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 23c | 51,489$11,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,701.53 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 14,024$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…8309backed Yes | 22c | 12,089$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…ed95backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed No | 71c | 8,935$6,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed Yes | 20c | 8,070$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.63 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 26c | 7,353$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.46 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…dcd9backed No | 78c | 7,001$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…f002backed Yes | 23c | 6,160$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…8da3backed No | 79c | 5,077$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.11 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 77c | 4,999$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.47 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 4,973$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 24c | 4,803$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.85 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 74c | 4,061$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.45 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed No | 71c | 3,773$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.03 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…d78abacked No | 70c | 3,551$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 29c | 3,235$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.1 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Yes | 17c | 2,940$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,819$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.32 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed No | 73c | 2,310$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.55 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed No | 71c | 2,260$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.73 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 29c | 2,100$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed Yes | 16c | 1,900$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,887$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 76c | 1,823$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.84 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 1,811$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.98 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8a22backed Yes | 31c | 1,769$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…2003backed No | 71c | 1,761$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 1,686$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 1,685$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 1,467$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 1,458$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 4c | 1,419$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 25c | 1,296$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,100$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 23c | 1,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4c…4067backed Yes | 30c | 1,093$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 28c | 999.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked No | 72c | 999.97$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…84b5backed Yes | 18c | 990.64$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…ec2dbacked Yes | 30c | 953.14$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 950.76$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 76c | 895.71$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 27c | 888.53$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9592backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 24c | 841.59$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 811.66$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…eb36backed No | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…c40ebacked Yes | 25c | 758.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 24c | 730.26$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 713.76$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.61 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…ae63backed Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1616backed Yes | 21c | 633.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 27c | 616.05$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Yes | 20c | 580$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a2…7cbbbacked No | 77c | 572$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 21c | 555$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0818…0273backed Yes | 29c | 528.41$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes | 19c | 507.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Yes | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 5c | 496.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…07c9backed Yes | 15c | 482.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 73c | 438.42$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 72c | 434.6$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Yes | 28c | 405.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…af7bbacked Yes | 27c | 395.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Yes | 29c | 372.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 27c | 363.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 27c | 360.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 18c | 355.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 72c | 353$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yes | 26c | 348.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 336.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e87…f8c7backed Yes | 29c | 302$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 19c | 301$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…618dbacked No | 75c | 299.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 293.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…aa32backed No | 79c | 275$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 271.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…988bbacked Yes | 28c | 271.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 256$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will T1 win MSI 2026?this page
- Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win MSI 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will Karmine Corp win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Team Secret Whales win MSI 2026?No won
- Will Top Esports win MSI 2026?No won
- Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.