TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeac5…2003

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5540%22 W · 33 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$916.36
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.32
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$540.74
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$665.09
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.51
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.98
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$576.47
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$72.09
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$420
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42.08
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,039.43
1H Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$449.76
1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$496.61
1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$743.4
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$810
1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$536.55
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$940
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60.98
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$365.44
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$490
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$275
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$510.56
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,467.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+177.7%+$563.11
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$87
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.4%+$584.7
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$133.75
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$1,003.98
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+300%+$899.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$800.68
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$225
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.31
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.06
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
All 18 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+119%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H O/U 27.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$125.8
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+94.5%+$116.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$88.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$219
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.