UFC · resolved market
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afd448d699ebe6f524be31011df70af7a6b5dd971314d8e99d8c15cf21c4f4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Denisof Dariush, Saint Denis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $477,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $571,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Saint Denis | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Dariush | 35c | 48,858$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,199.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Dariush | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Saint Denis | 65c | 35,379$22,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,403.21 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Dariush | 35c | 28,298$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Dariush | 35c | 25,600$8,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,837.92 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Saint Denis | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Dariush | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.91 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Saint Denis | 63c | 16,945$10,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.73 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Dariush | 36c | 16,388$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,977.3 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Saint Denis | 65c | 15,860$10,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Dariush | 33c | 15,149$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Saint Denis | 67c | 14,868$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Saint Denis | 63c | 14,413$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Saint Denis | 65c | 13,249$8,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.21 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Dariush | 34c | 12,231$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.79 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Denis | 66c | 11,234$7,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.8 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Dariush | 36c | 10,931$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…a8b3backed Dariush | 35c | 9,191$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Saint Denis | 65c | 9,165$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.3 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Dariush | 30c | 8,485$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.96 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Saint Denis | 68c | 7,354$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Dariush | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Saint Denis | 65c | 6,923$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Dariush | 35c | 6,624$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.51 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Saint Denis | 65c | 6,277$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dariush | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dariush | 32c | 6,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Saint Denis | 66c | 5,789$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Dariush | 36c | 5,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Dariush | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Dariush | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Dariush | 36c | 4,910$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.44 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Saint Denis | 65c | 4,795$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.48 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…62f0backed Saint Denis | 65c | 4,610$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Saint Denis | 64c | 4,400$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Saint Denis | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Saint Denis | 65c | 3,845$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Dariush | 37c | 3,668$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.87 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Dariush | 36c | 3,497$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dariush | 34c | 3,449$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.66 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…deecbacked Dariush | 35c | 3,394$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saint Denis | 65c | 3,310$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.59 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dariush | 35c | 3,265$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…68debacked Dariush | 35c | 3,179$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Saint Denis | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dariush | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Saint Denis | 64c | 2,764$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Dariush | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Saint Denis | 64c | 2,100$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dariush | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Dariush | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Dariush | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dariush | 32c | 1,828$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.65 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Saint Denis | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Dariush | 1c | 1,707$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Saint Denis | 64c | 1,627$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…f2d4backed Saint Denis | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…3ea2backed Saint Denis | 63c | 1,584$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Saint Denis | 63c | 1,577$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Saint Denis | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Dariush | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Saint Denis | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…394abacked Saint Denis | 66c | 1,498$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Saint Denis | 61c | 1,491$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.36 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Dariush | 37c | 1,400$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…2939backed Saint Denis | 68c | 1,369$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…e751backed Dariush | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Saint Denis | 64c | 1,297$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Dariush | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Saint Denis | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Saint Denis | 63c | 1,218$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Saint Denis | 64c | 1,205$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Saint Denis | 63c | 1,197$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Saint Denis | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…afb3backed Dariush | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Saint Denis | 64c | 1,088$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.57 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Saint Denis | 66c | 1,059$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…ee36backed Dariush | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Saint Denis | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Saint Denis | 69c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.53 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Dariush | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…9561backed Dariush | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dariush | 36c | 1,000$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9a…a8d6backed Dariush | 36c | 961.81$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Saint Denis | 65c | 949$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Saint Denis | 65c | 945$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Saint Denis | 64c | 870.11$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Dariush | 36c | 848.28$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.38 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…7bffbacked Dariush | 37c | 827.03$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Dariush | 37c | 794.13$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Saint Denis | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saint Denis | 67c | 786.37$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Saint Denis | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Saint Denis | 62c | 776.77$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.17 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Saint Denis | 66c | 758.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…efb8backed Saint Denis | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Dariush | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed Saint Denis | 68c | 698.13$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Dariush | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Beneil Dariush win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.