TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof G2 Esports, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,153,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,447,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,153,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa19…4f3cbacked G2 Esports35c94,666$33,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,132.974223.8%10 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed G2 Esports36c63,882$23,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,225.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Top Esports65c62,748$40,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,961.8211650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a21…d307backed G2 Esports20c50,000$9,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,809.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked G2 Esports24c43,019$10,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,126.1512132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac72…faf5backed G2 Esports0c40,149$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.472317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Top Esports65c34,000$21,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,009.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed G2 Esports1c20,918$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7417410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6183…18d4backed Top Esports66c20,208$13,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.77977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed Top Esports68c18,964$12,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,068.364753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Top Esports65c15,385$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.625957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Top Esports67c15,141$10,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,050.725446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ca…18afbacked G2 Esports26c15,066$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.471625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Top Esports78c14,862$11,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.883959%23 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Top Esports63c11,332$7,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.9636433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d68…09e4backed G2 Esports37c10,936$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1002035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Top Esports65c10,549$6,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.061560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dae…a9b2backed G2 Esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked G2 Esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed50…9e1fbacked G2 Esports1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003366.7%22 W · 11 L+7.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+328.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xaca1…0979backed G2 Esports36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Top Esports66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4002544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed G2 Esports14c9,501$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9914524.8%36 W · 109 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…93d7backed Top Esports65c9,033$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.536467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc06a…f31fbacked Top Esports64c8,707$5,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.391250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Top Esports64c8,600$5,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.9851160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8151…beebbacked Top Esports66c8,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d7…126cbacked Top Esports71c7,015$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.771070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Top Esports70c6,285$4,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.9825269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x704a…0c12backed G2 Esports0c6,243$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…badcbacked Top Esports70c6,138$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.751770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+59.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed Top Esports76c5,988$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.749845.9%45 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x223e…9febbacked Top Esports73c5,271$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed G2 Esports19c5,083$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.223935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5593…6eb9backed G2 Esports2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Top Esports65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7503447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed G2 Esports33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9713846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed G2 Esports25c4,957$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.5518340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ae…84cebacked Top Esports76c4,893$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.052842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9044…ea1abacked Top Esports65c4,870$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.027853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Top Esports67c4,539$3,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.852965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8c…9b63backed G2 Esports9c4,528$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdacf…352abacked G2 Esports6c4,417$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.16650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Top Esports65c4,352$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.5941752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed G2 Esports34c4,069$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.177030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked G2 Esports35c3,600$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2602638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41bc…c75bbacked Top Esports66c3,456$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed G2 Esports25c3,383$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.6131644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked G2 Esports32c3,348$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08521549.3%106 W · 109 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked G2 Esports26c3,336$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.76637.9%25 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked G2 Esports15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.953455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ad…cb3cbacked G2 Esports24c3,159$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.184139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked G2 Esports2c3,150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1312022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafae…8c3cbacked Top Esports72c3,139$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.021353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed G2 Esports35c3,032$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.751822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe84c…d40cbacked Top Esports77c3,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7005166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5073…59f0backed G2 Esports31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9309348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6812…6646backed Top Esports65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.993754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Top Esports67c2,993$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.418355.4%46 W · 37 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b20…ee55backed G2 Esports35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked G2 Esports25c2,779$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.0511037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed G2 Esports11c2,778$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c6…c820backed Top Esports65c2,611$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde78…fde2backed G2 Esports2c2,561$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.44258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e0…5a66backed Top Esports65c2,502$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed3f…217dbacked G2 Esports4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked G2 Esports8c2,340$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.193540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd1…b4a3backed G2 Esports3c2,190$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd342…95fcbacked G2 Esports33c2,120$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.6825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f5…7ae2backed G2 Esports37c2,044$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Top Esports66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42df…e54abacked Top Esports65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed Top Esports65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7006735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked G2 Esports25c2,000$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3314840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb942…890bbacked G2 Esports34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6803145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked G2 Esports34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.987544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Top Esports77c1,982$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.571,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e32…f3f5backed G2 Esports33c1,826$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked G2 Esports31c1,800$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55814150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Top Esports64c1,800$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65312361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf5…5a81backed G2 Esports36c1,729$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ebf…ff4abacked G2 Esports35c1,635$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5707153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Top Esports73c1,574$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.7170462.1%437 W · 267 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Top Esports64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.58142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Top Esports66c1,559$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.1194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f2…e9dabacked G2 Esports39c1,542$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010456.7%59 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb644…d6e1backed Top Esports68c1,520$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.961533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…743bbacked G2 Esports15c1,511$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bfe…a365backed Top Esports67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.051553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…af58backed Top Esports70c1,475$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.421855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a6…8632backed G2 Esports34c1,473$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Top Esports61c1,442$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.348655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed G2 Esports37c1,357$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007330.1%22 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x031b…babcbacked G2 Esports16c1,289$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.877536%27 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed G2 Esports35c1,260$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.2435431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a22…8757backed G2 Esports4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd45e…bd43backed Top Esports69c1,200$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.933435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b30…48a8backed G2 Esports7c1,200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed G2 Esports26c1,174$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9550643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Top Esports66c1,165$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.