TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b20…ee55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$702.76
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,370.46
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$720.59
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,155.01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,760.74
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,280.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.84
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$436.24
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$238.79
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$745.15
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$485
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$1,150.82
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,082.93
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$191
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$643
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.88
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,098Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,648.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+343.2%+$2,295.31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$610.5
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$978.19
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$385
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+149.8%+$542.13
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$282.54
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$704
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400.57
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$343
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$216
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$1,400
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,054.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,553Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25.3%+$1,659.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100.1%+$1,005
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$514
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$938.46
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$301.71
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,372
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$447.19
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,033.15
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$395.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+142.6%+$710.61
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+82.9%+$405.74
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,440
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$357.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+49.2%+$653.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$257.92
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$128.48
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$276.9
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$693.93
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.9%+$1,021.54
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$736
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+32.8%+$745.79
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,031Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+37.1%+$752.49
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$537.25
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,088.65
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,529Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$435.3
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$221.07
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$414
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$920.85
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$400.3
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$360
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,998.56
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$111.99
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+148.3%+$1,141.86
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$218
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$362.73
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,891Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+103.6%+$1,959.35
All 23 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$399.97
Jiangxi Open: Hanyu Guo vs Alina Korneevabacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+75.8%+$1,235.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.