CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3836e722e8cd3b52de535fd32a8d148daa242c878642d28f05bc6395f24cb601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof TYLOO, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked paiN | 78c | 8,923$6,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.83 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed paiN | 57c | 7,365$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.66 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed TYLOO | 50c | 7,004$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.39 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TYLOO | 32c | 4,260$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.79 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed paiN | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TYLOO | 34c | 2,607$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.17 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TYLOO | 47c | 2,562$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.56 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TYLOO | 45c | 2,558$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.44 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO | 37c | 1,829$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked paiN | 47c | 1,071$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.49 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed paiN | 39c | 778.43$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.52 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked paiN | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TYLOO | 48c | 399$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TYLOO | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed TYLOO | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed paiN | 74c | 198.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked TYLOO | 38c | 198.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed TYLOO | 30c | 178.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed paiN | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed paiN | 55c | 155.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed TYLOO | 36c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked paiN | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked TYLOO | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed TYLOO | 45c | 72.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked paiN | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked TYLOO | 51c | 55.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…9517backed TYLOO | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed paiN | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked TYLOO | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked TYLOO | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)paiN won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.