TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d87…db7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$149.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$95.09
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+98.3%+$54.09
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+80.3%+$338.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$23.26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$121.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$145.77
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$160
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+105.2%+$315.52
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+93.8%+$93.85
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+178.5%+$325.24
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$365.48
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$76.67
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$118.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$393.86
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$2,745.71
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.53
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$147.12
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$180.43
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.65
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.87
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$115.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.45
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$53.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.