Us Politics · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b285d8accfa6a130170f63255d25cd808b4f5e05f30df310106a867bf6a3add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked No | 17c | 2,090$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 19c | 1,504$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.75 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 9c | 1,042$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…d227backed No | 15c | 978.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…866abacked No | 9c | 829.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…7677backed No | 15c | 570.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 11c | 532.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 13c | 523.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…3108backed No | 14c | 515.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 78c | 460.04$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 18c | 456.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 21c | 352.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acd…5cd0backed No | 12c | 329.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed No | 36c | 232.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…6bd1backed Yes | 64c | 232.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed No | 10c | 204.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…fcdcbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5096…c5b1backed No | 12c | 194.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…13cdbacked No | 11c | 187.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…c17dbacked No | 15c | 171.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked No | 16c | 169.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 162.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…9aefbacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4b90backed No | 11c | 142.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 15c | 141.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…88b9backed No | 25c | 135.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…a0dabacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…75d9backed Yes | 80c | 125.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Yes | 74c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…f3f7backed No | 17c | 119.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…dc7bbacked No | 20c | 111.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 18c | 110.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…04aabacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…57b1backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…635abacked No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 16c | 95.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6c34backed No | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 18c | 77.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…ec97backed No | 18c | 72.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…81dbbacked Yes | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x303c…4487backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Anti-semitic" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.