Us Politics · resolved market

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7257a83c60bd4770a411eb0ecab89272d514698dec89e5b4e0d1256161b874a8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 5, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,475 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No	55c	1,039$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.75	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	46c	867.7$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.27	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked No	41c	721.65$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.37	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c08…eba9backed Yes	53c	708.55$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.44	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa437…571abacked Yes	33c	701.5$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.48	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac2…176dbacked Yes	27c	680.26$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b13…3df6backed Yes	61c	537.31$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes	33c	523$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.48	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	14c	521.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.19	84	19%16 W · 68 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c08…7307backed No	43c	469.32$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+45%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No	41c	451.77$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.27	320	29.1%93 W · 227 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No	41c	350$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.5	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a8…39f9backed Yes	58c	328.6$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed No	42c	326.23$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.55	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…c2d7backed Yes	62c	324.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…88b9backed Yes	69c	323.49$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.9	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5096…c5b1backed Yes	71c	240$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x856f…e1d7backed No	37c	204.97$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.23	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed No	39c	200.88$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.88	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12cd…0e8ebacked Yes	61c	188.12$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…04aabacked Yes	57c	174.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af4…89b4backed Yes	60c	170$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+23%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f0c…0c51backed No	58c	165.85$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.09	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+108.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d87…db7abacked Yes	20c	165$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd4…194bbacked No	78c	165$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.38	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	58c	161.07$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.53	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0060…4cc4backed Yes	63c	159.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x662b…8a95backed No	33c	153.74$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+172.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	62c	153.6$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.23	567	33.2%188 W · 379 L	-40.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Yes	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7896…047dbacked Yes	49c	129.9$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No	44c	121.91$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.85	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17bd…7afcbacked Yes	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdf…d7a2backed No	52c	113.28$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.37	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5aa…c200backed Yes	17c	105$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…57c8backed No	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked Yes	63c	102.41$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae71…8488backed No	44c	101.2$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x581d…b2e3backed No	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5d…9ea3backed No	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb523…7138backed Yes	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d06…9aefbacked Yes	60c	99.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x942b…e25ebacked Yes	54c	98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.49	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked No	69c	92.75$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.75	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Yes	49c	92.2$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed No	75c	91.21$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.89	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9b4…95b1backed Yes	47c	85.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	58c	85.53$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.22	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b5…4425backed Yes	61c	83.13$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x053d…7c17backed Yes	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…31a4backed Yes	59c	71.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes	59c	67.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No	47c	67$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.51	77	39%30 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb7…8bbabacked Yes	62c	64.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e39…d2f1backed Yes	64c	62.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fe…dd3abacked Yes	65c	61.72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No	22c	60$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	0%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ca…dc7bbacked No	45c	59.59$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.7	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…a496backed Yes	72c	54.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8109…3172backed Yes	57c	53.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…2423backed No	61c	53$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.67	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	30c	51.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b6…d35fbacked Yes	62c	50.91$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd2d…53efbacked Yes	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fe…1d08backed No	49c	50.01$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed No	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-44%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a2…57febacked Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fce…b35bbacked No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26df…8211backed Yes	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be2…e7a0backed No	43c	46.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+79.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7854…90a5backed No	77c	43.15$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6441…139ebacked Yes	59c	42.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.8wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.15	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e2bfbacked No	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes	56c	39.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes	78c	38.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.31	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked Yes	56c	38.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.41	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	59cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b04…d27ebacked Yes	48c	37.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6063…22cebacked Yes	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80ea…f25fbacked No	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8652…3ce4backed Yes	57c	34.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f7…0de5backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.40per pick	57cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa96e…e5b5backed Yes	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x673e…e66abacked Yes	51c	30.92$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes	61c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc8…e126backed Yes	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ea…a113backed Yes	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0f…c8aebacked No	36c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8d…e200backed No	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+36%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5025…dd30backed Yes	50c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8260…5bdebacked No	73c	27.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed No	41c	27.29$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.01	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed No	41c	26.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8a…5af6backed Yes	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-57%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked Yes	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325a…dbb4backed Yes	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event