TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x70eb…635a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96%+$11.1
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.34
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+46.1%+$7.48
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.2%+$3.12
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$28
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.3%+$5.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56%+$10.53
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs illwill (BO3)backed illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40%+$9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.3%+$4.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33%+$4.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.07
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
LoL: Myth Esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1)backed Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.66
LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1)backed Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+82.1%+$11.26
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69%+$11.6
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.18
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$37.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+525%+$453.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+170.3%+$21.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$93.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$270.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.