Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x214bb2228a85063b7498b4877aebadf7ddb21da3a610d58b14f453e933d793a6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Portsmouth FC
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $98,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,371 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked Arsenal FC	45c	10,002$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,502.22	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Portsmouth FC	55c	9,982$5,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,490.27	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portsmouth FC	55c	9,671$5,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,337.42	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Portsmouth FC	57c	5,523$3,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,123.34	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Portsmouth FC	55c	4,553$2,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,501.49	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC	44c	4,507$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,506.61	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Arsenal FC	44c	3,727$1,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.85	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Arsenal FC	33c	3,111$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,072.08	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Arsenal FC	41c	3,049$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.08	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Portsmouth FC	73c	2,727$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e50…e705backed Portsmouth FC	69c	2,158$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.68	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	70cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC	47c	1,912$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.88	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Arsenal FC	58c	1,730$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.6	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Arsenal FC	43c	1,512$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.81	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Portsmouth FC	58c	1,068$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.08	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Arsenal FC	42c	941.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.31	112	34.8%39 W · 73 L	+8.5wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Portsmouth FC	56c	589$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.06	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Arsenal FC	41c	526.39$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.57	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Arsenal FC	54c	514.2$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.74	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Portsmouth FC	59c	502.99$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.76	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	+13.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Arsenal FC	44c	498.48$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.48	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Arsenal FC	41c	482$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Arsenal FC	42c	473.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.51	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Arsenal FC	40c	302.03$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.72	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Portsmouth FC	52c	255.13$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.61	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Arsenal FC	42c	254.76$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.76	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Arsenal FC	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Portsmouth FC	58c	245.96$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.61	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Arsenal FC	41c	245$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.55	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Arsenal FC	42c	237.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.14	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Arsenal FC	41c	235.55$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.49	102	29.4%30 W · 72 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Arsenal FC	43c	231.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.64	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Arsenal FC	42c	231.09$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.09	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Arsenal FC	45c	226.72$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.06	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Arsenal FC	41c	204.29$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.42	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Portsmouth FC	59c	200$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Portsmouth FC	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Arsenal FC	40c	199.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Portsmouth FC	54c	193.46$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.83	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91dc…2813backed Arsenal FC	62c	193.27$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.27	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Arsenal FC	45c	189.98$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.98	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Arsenal FC	39c	169.44$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.36	159	55.3%88 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee1…3e28backed Portsmouth FC	68c	165.32$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Portsmouth FC	57c	157.51$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.78	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Portsmouth FC	59c	148$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.32	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Arsenal FC	41c	145.74$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.74	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Arsenal FC	37c	142.53$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.39	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Portsmouth FC	59c	132.68$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.59	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Arsenal FC	41c	122.26$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.26	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Portsmouth FC	59c	120$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.8	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Arsenal FC	42c	119.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.17	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Arsenal FC	42c	119.05$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Arsenal FC	42c	119.05$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Portsmouth FC	60c	113.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.83	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Arsenal FC	42c	113.14$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.62	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Arsenal FC	39c	110.26$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.26	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Portsmouth FC	59c	106.83$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.39	134	47%63 W · 71 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Arsenal FC	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Portsmouth FC	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed Arsenal FC	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Arsenal FC	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Arsenal FC	37c	93.72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.72	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Portsmouth FC	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Arsenal FC	64c	82.73$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.73	222	44.1%98 W · 124 L	+19.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Arsenal FC	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058a…ed5cbacked Portsmouth FC	56c	80$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC	43c	72.09$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.09	377	40.3%152 W · 225 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Arsenal FC	42c	72.02$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.02	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-8.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e88…7d0cbacked Arsenal FC	42c	71.2$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.3	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Portsmouth FC	61c	70$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.55	411	60.1%247 W · 164 L	+22.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Arsenal FC	45c	66.87$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.87	140	45%63 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Arsenal FC	60c	64$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Portsmouth FC	59c	61.42$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.24	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Portsmouth FC	60c	59.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Arsenal FC	34c	59.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Portsmouth FC	60c	58$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Portsmouth FC	58c	55.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.29	209	31.6%66 W · 143 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arsenal FC	34c	55.21$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.52	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdc6e…da08backed Arsenal FC	42c	52.02$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.17	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2662…975abacked Arsenal FC	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.9wins	-0.24per pick	54cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Portsmouth FC	76c	47.49$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.89	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-6.0wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Arsenal FC	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42d…61e3backed Arsenal FC	41c	41.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.48	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Portsmouth FC	59c	41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Arsenal FC	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked Portsmouth FC	65c	38.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Arsenal FC	41c	38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.42	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arsenal FC	39c	37.38$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc74f…c23ebacked Arsenal FC	54c	37.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Portsmouth FC	53c	36.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Portsmouth FC	57c	35.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	51cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Arsenal FC	41c	35$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.65	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Arsenal FC	41c	35$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.65	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34df…18b0backed Arsenal FC	43c	34.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Arsenal FC	40c	33.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Portsmouth FC	61c	33.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Arsenal FC	42c	30.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.56	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf838…86b2backed Arsenal FC	42c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.55	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Arsenal FC	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Portsmouth FC	59c	28.19$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)this page
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event