Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5edf52a75ecf647a34a0857561742a4de5f6dd61dc69e443c4b2730c058dc1aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 56c | 339.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…81d7backed Yes | 44c | 311.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 45c | 220.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 43c | 179.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 57c | 155$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 137.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked No | 7c | 135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 56c | 128$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked No | 60c | 101.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 57c | 96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 57c | 77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 57c | 77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 68c | 69.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Yes | 46c | 65.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 57c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked No | 57c | 44.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked No | 58c | 43.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.