TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over50c101,110$50,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,660.118962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c62,611$31,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,305.6424846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c21,550$6,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,753.146,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over48c15,540$7,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,080.664841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c7,185$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.181,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c6,993$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.672,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c5,684$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.024,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c4,610$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.041,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c4,565$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.811,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under51c1,911$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.6115049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under52c850$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.513447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under36c720.12$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0210330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over47c644.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2717428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under51c428.36$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.466137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c392.64$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.122450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Under12c300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under10c230$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.37450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.273743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under56c227.27$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2751847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under15c226.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3118139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11719357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over46c224.35$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.934463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Under20c212.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.816168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under54c192$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.684944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked Over48c188.22$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Over43c182.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.46939.1%27 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under52c166.72$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6933753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c165$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Under54c161.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.084949%24 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667252.8%38 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under46c108.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.966940.6%28 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.765442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under43c107.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9439052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over46c107.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7515025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under22c103.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0425057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Under20c100.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4527354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.526158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.532255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.530554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.525456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.526058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.532656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.528255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Under56c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.361936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Under53c73.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.714744.7%21 W · 26 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under43c72.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8620931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d8…30d9backed Over43c70.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under56c59.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.639651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Over49c59.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.184047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under54c57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.785050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8252…5c68backed Under53c54.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under52c53.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.752458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e14…bc35backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272475%18 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked Under53c47.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.071855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.382250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Over46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de5…4a03backed Under52c45.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over45c44.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under52c44.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Under38c43.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.