Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e1a616709257df48acfb56cf4596b65f0e79115499280cf101e6aa97e4f2aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 7,285$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 3,000$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,921$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.1 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Over | 69c | 1,859$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 2c | 1,173$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 30c | 664.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 5c | 639.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Over | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 34c | 324.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 66c | 303.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…81d7backed Over | 69c | 290.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Over | 71c | 219.37$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ef48backed Over | 70c | 180.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 66c | 150.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 9c | 148.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Over | 68c | 143.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…2813backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Over | 67c | 74.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 66c | 60.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Over | 66c | 49.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Over | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 66c | 41.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…00d1backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 67c | 29.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Over | 69c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 68c | 24.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 69c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Over | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.