Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72a9d5b3221905539ede69f52a5e990a7325f1610216b2620705cf2a3cd6472

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,030,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,110,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,030,994 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 682 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	54c	36,292$19,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,758.75	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	71c	24,135$17,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,989.85	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	51c	18,211$9,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,959.67	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…6471backed Yes	65c	13,918$9,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,819.51	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fe…ce76backed No	47c	13,423$6,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,242.05	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed No	0c	13,185$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.29	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	29c	10,798$3,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,671.02	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	57c	10,203$5,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,379.38	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	20c	10,180$2,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,093.27	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	58c	8,537$4,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,911.58	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	27c	8,533$2,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,193.4	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	61c	8,523$5,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,237.08	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1b…b963backed No	73c	7,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	42c	6,482$2,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,768.63	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	57c	5,909$3,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,539.65	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	33c	5,678$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,779.58	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	2c	5,550$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	52c	5,374$2,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,589.18	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…753fbacked Yes	11c	5,218$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,633.77	94	10.6%10 W · 84 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes	72c	5,172$3,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed Yes	76c	5,099$3,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…d100backed Yes	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Yes	32c	4,915$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,355.53	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acf…22e4backed Yes	51c	4,897$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,397.23	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed No	5c	4,594$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.52	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ea…2072backed Yes	35c	4,451$1,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,907.33	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	64c	4,014$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,571.15	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	16c	3,884$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,277.76	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	36c	3,711$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.79	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe96…65acbacked No	28c	3,698$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.75	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…01f2backed Yes	16c	3,445$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,890.02	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	58c	3,430$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.6	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29da…c6efbacked Yes	11c	3,380$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,015.61	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Yes	53c	3,346$1,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,578.3	64	15.6%10 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2275…c88bbacked No	4c	3,236$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.2	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	34c	3,205$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,115.95	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	19c	3,078$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.17	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	29c	3,055$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.27	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e6…b538backed Yes	38c	2,707$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,668.12	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed No	0c	2,560$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fed…d914backed Yes	65c	2,532$1,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.31	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,509$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.76	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07bd…241bbacked Yes	41c	2,503$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,467.82	69	10.1%7 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4b…71f0backed Yes	42c	2,500$1,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.17	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	56c	2,465$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.07	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6d…723abacked Yes	55c	2,402$1,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+82.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa1…a24cbacked Yes	40c	2,349$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,398.53	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+227.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…ab7dbacked Yes	40c	2,288$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,361.42	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	35c	2,239$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.4	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2dc…e100backed No	63c	2,072$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.06	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	39c	2,040$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.38	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	32c	2,027$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,388.25	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c16…bbcbbacked Yes	12c	2,012$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.79	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	66c	2,000$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.82	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x254b…18c5backed Yes	27c	2,000$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	30c	2,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.99	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed Yes	60c	2,000$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.91	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ed…8808backed Yes	66c	1,955$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.84	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Yes	52c	1,944$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.59	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	6c	1,927$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.06	118	5.1%6 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060a…e99abacked Yes	5c	1,870$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.13	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5752…62a3backed Yes	51c	1,841$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.61	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33cf…d71bbacked Yes	11c	1,826$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.73	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f7…2bf6backed Yes	6c	1,808$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708.16	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	14cpaid	+205.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	6c	1,724$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.14	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	75c	1,718$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.48	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No	50c	1,718$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.41	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	52c	1,692$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.87	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed No	18c	1,687$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.53	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f9…5d7abacked Yes	36c	1,678$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.37	96	20.8%20 W · 76 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed No	10c	1,640$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.64	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes	21c	1,607$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.33	125	28%35 W · 90 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	6c	1,588$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.78	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+108%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes	20c	1,557$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.57	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed No	45c	1,515$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.68	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6e…255abacked Yes	70c	1,483$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.61	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	9c	1,444$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.13	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9b…7ff2backed Yes	35c	1,433$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.56	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6201…d386backed Yes	11c	1,343$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,193.14	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf527…e4e0backed Yes	27c	1,343$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.31	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc4…089cbacked No	1c	1,341$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No	71c	1,330$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	71cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	45c	1,293$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.91	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…abf5backed No	55c	1,288$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.37	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	37c	1,276$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x226a…6411backed Yes	30c	1,272$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.46	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16d6…7268backed Yes	58c	1,239$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.57	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes	78c	1,155$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.25	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	42c	1,140$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.14	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	20c	1,132$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.06	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb79f…d749backed No	1c	1,128$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.96	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No	19c	1,071$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde54…444dbacked Yes	39c	1,068$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.51	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+91.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70a…8084backed Yes	39c	1,059$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.46	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	30c	1,026$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.09	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee6…8af6backed Yes	60c	1,019$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.42	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fa…45d2backed Yes	66c	1,013$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.54	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	45c	1,003$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.19	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	7c	1,001$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.04	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event