Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779a71a66d1ca9b85878aacf2edee4d417ee41ee6cac65de0dcb3694b5d6ad43

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $791,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $315,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,810 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	70,222$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.66	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	63,004$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.78	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	12c	44,894$5,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,361.58	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	37,776$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.78	274	0.4%1 W · 273 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	+257.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed Yes	0c	30,356$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.4	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc304…97b4backed Yes	1c	14,085$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.85	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	13,650$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.11	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38a3…fe34backed Yes	0c	13,467$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	89	0%0 W · 89 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	6c	10,990$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Yes	17c	10,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes	1c	10,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	9,674$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf5…46e4backed Yes	0c	7,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	6,455$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.17	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	2c	5,909$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.04	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	5c	5,680$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.8	118	5.1%6 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	2c	5,217$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.41	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	2c	5,071$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.47	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	3c	5,006$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.43	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Yes	14c	5,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	4,843$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.67	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	6c	4,630$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.1	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	5c	3,842$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.32	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…753fbacked Yes	15c	3,679$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	94	10.6%10 W · 84 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	3,509$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b7…1e4abacked Yes	3c	3,459$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.15	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	3,327$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.82	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,220$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.08	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	5c	3,087$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.5	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes	4c	2,865$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	89	9%8 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	11c	2,731$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.85	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	2,730$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.44	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4b…71f0backed Yes	6c	2,535$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	2,516$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07bd…241bbacked Yes	5c	2,502$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	69	10.1%7 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ed7…e255backed Yes	9c	2,478$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.3	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0c…1cd5backed Yes	14c	2,428$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.89	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd6e…c7e1backed Yes	5c	2,188$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes	5c	2,046$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.42	91	4.4%4 W · 87 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f70…088dbacked Yes	3c	1,992$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	5c	1,981$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.28	261	5.4%14 W · 247 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	5c	1,958$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.32	182	4.9%9 W · 173 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	7c	1,900$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce72…01f2backed Yes	15c	1,890$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.33	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,868$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.04	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	4c	1,832$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.36	279	4.7%13 W · 266 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	6c	1,806$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	15c	1,697$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes	2c	1,626$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.94	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f8…1092backed Yes	10c	1,586$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.9	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	8c	1,544$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.55	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	2c	1,511$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29da…c6efbacked Yes	6c	1,500$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.25	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	11c	1,457$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.24	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	15c	1,455$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.25	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes	7c	1,341$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	1,320$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.08	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed Yes	7c	1,300$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986e…88d7backed Yes	7c	1,284$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.26	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	1,262$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fed…d914backed Yes	1c	1,260$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	14c	1,256$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f1…5840backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	1,184$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226a…6411backed Yes	5c	1,100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x060a…e99abacked Yes	14c	1,080$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…bbcbbacked Yes	9c	1,055$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ea…2072backed Yes	6c	1,022$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.32	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…8cf3backed Yes	4c	1,009$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.02	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	7c	1,001$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f9…5d7abacked Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	96	20.8%20 W · 76 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb430…0448backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…a8a9backed Yes	5c	999.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	6.3%6 W · 89 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…e492backed Yes	4c	964.21$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	179	24.6%44 W · 135 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7369…59a1backed Yes	5c	940.75$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.38	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	9c	929.4$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.57	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…9f8fbacked Yes	2c	912.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	5c	887.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	10c	880$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes	3c	868.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	849.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8187…ff6abacked Yes	7c	822.09$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	133	14.3%19 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	12c	800$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	6c	800$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82d…cd54backed Yes	6c	794.04$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12cc…275dbacked Yes	14c	750$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc90…9e95backed Yes	2c	747.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	14c	722.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa96…9592backed Yes	2c	699.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	7c	691.4$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.25	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	7c	685.7$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	2c	669.55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b3…c41fbacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde54…444dbacked Yes	7c	666.48$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+91.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…ab7dbacked Yes	7c	666.48$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	7c	664.45$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.19	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event