TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x060a…e99a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT5016%8 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$158.4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.61
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$70.2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$141.9
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$87.5
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$81.99
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$53.5
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+2,757.1%+$965
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.85
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$939.98
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+55.3%+$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.