Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9d59f87834edd00b75981175f05d9236eb8427bf9668c38d5ca4dd2bd1daf45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,257,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,101,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,257,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked No | 6c | 920,791$54,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,434.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 0c | 348,333$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.33 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e4…28aabacked No | 0c | 288,889$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed No | 0c | 204,423$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…0decbacked No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…8e8abacked No | 0c | 145,312$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 0c | 133,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +231.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…9572backed No | 3c | 131,831$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…8431backed No | 0c | 121,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…5844backed No | 0c | 120,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…5e07backed No | 0c | 116,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 3c | 109,896$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.91 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…8522backed No | 0c | 107,290$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…ce1fbacked No | 0c | 103,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…b962backed No | 0c | 103,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 3c | 101,445$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.76 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…e99abacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…2945backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…5199backed No | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…fa1dbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 0c | 85,200$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 1c | 81,175$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 0c | 80,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…c10fbacked No | 0c | 63,540$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 26c | 58,262$15,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,255.91 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8455…7315backed No | 0c | 56,300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed No | 5c | 42,800$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 3c | 42,000$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.75 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 2c | 39,547$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.46 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…93c2backed No | 0c | 36,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked No | 0c | 36,185$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 3c | 35,360$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 3c | 34,517$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.34 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…90cbbacked No | 0c | 34,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked No | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…83bcbacked No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…09e5backed No | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…2959backed No | 0c | 23,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 1c | 22,838$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…e46cbacked No | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed No | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…c170backed No | 0c | 21,540$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 0c | 21,325$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a72…6ef8backed No | 0c | 21,110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…7b24backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…8d25backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…c78abacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…03b5backed No | 0c | 18,880$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 3c | 17,474$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.02 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…5a7abacked No | 0c | 16,370$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…b7ecbacked No | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…005fbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 3c | 15,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 38c | 14,738$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…6e2dbacked No | 0c | 13,990$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 5c | 13,808$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.77 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed No | 7c | 13,376$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…c1f1backed No | 0c | 13,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 0c | 12,434$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…9c26backed No | 0c | 11,980$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…06bcbacked No | 0c | 11,760$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…dc99backed No | 0c | 11,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103b…33d6backed No | 0c | 11,331$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…7349backed No | 0c | 11,250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…ab1fbacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…b2e1backed No | 0c | 10,780$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 4c | 10,779$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.72 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…78b0backed No | 1c | 10,697$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…5505backed No | 0c | 10,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…1fc2backed No | 0c | 10,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…2143backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…ad3ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…e499backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bac…8684backed No | 4c | 10,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…178bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…89e3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…c103backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ac…67b8backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…e76bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f98…542ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f572backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…2123backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…9ccabacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…4277backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 7c | 9,999$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…a6a2backed No | 0c | 9,593$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…931cbacked No | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 55c | 8,375$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.41 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 6c | 8,351$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed No | 4c | 8,100$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b2b9backed No | 0c | 8,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked No | 2c | 7,888$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? this page
- Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.