TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf32a…06fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 65 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+6.2wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$802.23
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+307.9%+$1,107.49
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$290.3
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300.4%+$311.36
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$75.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.01
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.64
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$3,215.42
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$34.85
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+99%+$325.44
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,254.68
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170.63
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,993Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.1%+$4,499.15
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.2%+$1,326.4
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,980Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+34.2%+$1,019.97
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,063.28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$300
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+30.8%+$125.61
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.9%+$51.85
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.2
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.24
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.62
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+279.3%+$81
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65.4%+$9,240.15
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$224.24
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,614.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$390.26
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.