Movies · resolved market
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6541a8761b97d252205e5934fb7f3312cd460cb1d07c722e0bbe3f8181ddbcb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,381,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,652,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,381,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes | 0c | 1,377,251$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.19 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 206,523$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 3c | 184,126$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,671.13 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 2c | 164,589$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.64 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 142,087$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.66 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 0c | 119,990$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 1c | 106,745$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.62 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 2c | 102,468$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.81 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 99,937$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.07 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 89,268$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.76 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 4c | 86,557$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.62 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…ac6bbacked Yes | 9c | 79,017$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 0c | 75,384$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked Yes | 0c | 71,500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 1c | 70,000$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.1 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 36c | 66,781$24,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,297.96 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 7c | 66,255$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 2c | 62,018$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.09 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…a24bbacked Yes | 29c | 57,567$16,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,694.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cc…6213backed No | 71c | 57,567$40,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,694.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes | 1c | 55,571$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.26 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 10c | 52,637$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.19 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 2c | 50,827$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…b5b4backed Yes | 11c | 49,648$5,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 3c | 44,841$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.99 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 0c | 43,658$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 2c | 41,965$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 3c | 40,367$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 3c | 34,452$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 34,427$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…8c45backed Yes | 12c | 32,418$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…1027backed Yes | 2c | 31,545$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked Yes | 0c | 30,914$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 30,745$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.69 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…bd92backed Yes | 0c | 29,868$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…5ee8backed No | 62c | 29,856$18,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,345.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…1f5cbacked Yes | 38c | 29,856$11,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,345.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…1fefbacked Yes | 7c | 29,141$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 3c | 28,451$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 0c | 27,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 1c | 26,235$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 1c | 24,231$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…ad91backed Yes | 0c | 23,695$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 21,982$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.71 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…13ebbacked Yes | 2c | 21,821$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 9c | 21,466$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.09 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 1c | 20,704$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 7c | 19,363$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.71 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 19,062$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.26 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,077$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 16,962$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…5c4abacked Yes | 0c | 16,925$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…6dcbbacked Yes | 15c | 15,867$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 2c | 15,795$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…9f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,687$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…633ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,532$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 6c | 15,338$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Yes | 5c | 15,122$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…7621backed Yes | 3c | 14,892$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf781…1b71backed Yes | 1c | 14,517$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4717…7b07backed Yes | 0c | 14,320$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 14,000$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.11 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…80e8backed Yes | 14c | 13,611$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 5c | 13,467$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…cd93backed Yes | 0c | 13,383$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…1bf4backed Yes | 12c | 13,175$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…efa6backed Yes | 0c | 12,626$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 12,456$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…04d8backed Yes | 0c | 12,331$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…36ecbacked Yes | 7c | 11,911$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…2a0cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,852$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…2db6backed Yes | 0c | 11,610$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 9c | 11,378$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…be88backed Yes | 1c | 11,333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,986$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…8a19backed Yes | 3c | 10,905$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…097dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,822$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 10,683$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,361$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…cae9backed Yes | 8c | 10,098$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.69 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…c013backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0fddbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c4abbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…87e3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…dd37backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b7…c926backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,820$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,522$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 8c | 9,475$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 14c | 9,357$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.06 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfb…fac1backed Yes | 0c | 9,352$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…2f7bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,333$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 3c | 9,045$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…5e3abacked Yes | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.