Movies · resolved market
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e9fda006161184b29a2df3754b5b9c3757f8a2adc1f44291fe9907f8fc6ae97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,628,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,758,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,628,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 5,124,651$12,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,234.35 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 413,130$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 330,642$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.29 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 191,229$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 177,506$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.01 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52da…a771backed Yes | 0c | 103,487$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…9370backed Yes | 30c | 87,502$26,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,250.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…e269backed No | 70c | 87,502$61,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,250.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…cbb5backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…1743backed Yes | 12c | 74,000$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…dde1backed Yes | 0c | 64,345$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…b30cbacked Yes | 0c | 54,413$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3da…fc21backed Yes | 0c | 48,667$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…162fbacked Yes | 0c | 45,900$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…4acbbacked Yes | 0c | 29,700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…e233backed Yes | 0c | 25,500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,282$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 2c | 22,324$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.69 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,011$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dda…a8b4backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…1d90backed Yes | 1c | 18,882$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 18,825$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…7718backed Yes | 1c | 18,010$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…cc4ebacked Yes | 1c | 17,792$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…0e96backed Yes | 1c | 17,698$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…844fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,682$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…58f7backed Yes | 1c | 16,918$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…989dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,674$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…005abacked Yes | 1c | 16,661$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…7f34backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…c7dcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…ff78backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…06a2backed Yes | 0c | 14,850$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…3489backed Yes | 0c | 14,850$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…322abacked Yes | 1c | 13,980$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…d8dbbacked Yes | 1c | 13,933$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…358cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 13,549$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 18c | 13,446$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.67 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…aadabacked Yes | 1c | 13,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 12,616$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.96 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…c7bebacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3788…d7e3backed Yes | 1c | 11,800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes | 6c | 11,411$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…03f0backed Yes | 0c | 11,370$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,335$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…7c7cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…7153backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…42dfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8497…85f3backed Yes | 1c | 9,647$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…b304backed Yes | 1c | 8,488$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b64…1a44backed Yes | 1c | 8,284$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…8e13backed Yes | 1c | 8,158$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…0637backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…e863backed Yes | 0c | 7,927$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce7…e25dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,774$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…4992backed Yes | 1c | 7,680$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c2…008bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,640$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 7,500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…56c4backed Yes | 1c | 7,480$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8b…a7c8backed Yes | 1c | 7,453$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…ce48backed Yes | 1c | 7,040$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf0…6bfebacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 6,924$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…55e0backed Yes | 1c | 6,900$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…38d9backed Yes | 1c | 6,800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…42d9backed Yes | 0c | 6,613$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…e67abacked Yes | 0c | 6,575$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…f76fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,569$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 6,563$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…d0afbacked Yes | 0c | 6,553$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…95ecbacked Yes | 0c | 6,525$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…5224backed Yes | 0c | 6,410$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…b8c6backed Yes | 0c | 6,390$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…e23ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37e…4e1cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,223$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Yes | 0c | 6,195$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…5c6abacked Yes | 0c | 6,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23f…b63dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…97a3backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…8d79backed Yes | 0c | 5,875$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…cc76backed Yes | 0c | 5,450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 5c | 5,425$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…3f2dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…890ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…b1febacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2b77backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0517…2531backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…8218backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…cedfbacked Yes | 0c | 4,981$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…abbabacked Yes | 3c | 4,972$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…c6ebbacked Yes | 0c | 4,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 5c | 4,791$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3325…0e60backed Yes | 0c | 4,419$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.