Movies · resolved market
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa38b11b1909151a7c1c3bdfb77b24716adbd7ecbe9904ed14a572886120e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,506,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,192,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,506,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes | 0c | 431,096$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.67 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…ff78backed Yes | 0c | 189,092$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 152,163$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.31 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Yes | 0c | 117,105$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…c0fdbacked No | 69c | 108,423$74,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,018.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…5798backed Yes | 3c | 104,146$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…95aebacked Yes | 0c | 97,335$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 92,930$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.84 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b59…5f20backed Yes | 34c | 92,715$31,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,059.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…c6dabacked No | 67c | 92,715$61,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,059.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed Yes | 0c | 91,812$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 80,754$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Yes | 1c | 73,040$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes | 9c | 71,774$6,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,417.23 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…c236backed Yes | 0c | 67,579$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked Yes | 0c | 64,630$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…c013backed Yes | 0c | 63,905$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…faa5backed No | 63c | 59,734$37,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,041.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…e967backed Yes | 37c | 59,734$22,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,041.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…9df2backed Yes | 31c | 58,776$18,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,044.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked No | 69c | 58,776$40,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,044.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…d28cbacked Yes | 33c | 55,417$18,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,010.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…bec3backed Yes | 33c | 53,506$17,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,549.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…e191backed No | 67c | 53,506$35,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,549.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 25c | 53,413$13,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,611.52 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…9275backed Yes | 30c | 53,006$16,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,007.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…311bbacked No | 77c | 51,126$39,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,656.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…e4d3backed Yes | 23c | 51,126$11,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,656.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Yes | 16c | 50,000$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…c88bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,177$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 18c | 46,241$8,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,494.51 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…8acebacked Yes | 0c | 44,685$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…a38dbacked Yes | 1c | 43,823$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…b0f8backed Yes | 0c | 43,062$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc130…1bb6backed No | 69c | 42,468$29,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,207.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bb…5a78backed Yes | 31c | 42,418$13,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 2c | 41,317$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes | 6c | 40,000$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…cb2ebacked Yes | 0c | 38,820$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 38,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…94cabacked Yes | 0c | 37,803$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 37,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cb…ea19backed Yes | 32c | 36,692$11,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,846.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b3…6661backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd29…fd24backed Yes | 2c | 33,452$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Yes | 0c | 32,666$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 32,065$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…c223backed Yes | 20c | 32,000$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9f…a0d7backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…0fc7backed Yes | 2c | 29,720$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…2646backed Yes | 1c | 29,043$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…1c00backed Yes | 0c | 27,866$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 2c | 27,814$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…f433backed Yes | 0c | 27,540$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…43debacked Yes | 0c | 25,883$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a4…60dabacked Yes | 17c | 25,291$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…9402backed No | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…1743backed Yes | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 22c | 24,579$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.57 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…9f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,996$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 23,932$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 22c | 23,820$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca5…70c7backed Yes | 19c | 23,355$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…7b16backed Yes | 1c | 22,187$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc8…7586backed Yes | 21c | 22,000$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…9943backed Yes | 14c | 21,987$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 24c | 21,861$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.5 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…86a9backed Yes | 23c | 21,571$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed Yes | 19c | 21,332$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 15c | 20,578$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes | 8c | 20,558$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c4abbacked Yes | 0c | 19,760$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 5c | 19,618$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 12c | 19,240$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 10c | 19,155$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.04 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…17adbacked Yes | 21c | 18,550$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes | 31c | 18,319$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…efd9backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 17,982$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…2e76backed Yes | 23c | 17,900$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed Yes | 15c | 17,757$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0f29backed Yes | 0c | 17,060$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 16c | 17,000$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…0b2fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,820$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 16,813$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.28 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 68c | 16,191$11,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 16,169$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfb…fac1backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,598$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…a453backed Yes | 0c | 15,351$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…557abacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…3543backed Yes | 0c | 14,940$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…d607backed Yes | 2c | 14,790$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed Yes | 17c | 14,380$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…dfa4backed No | 70c | 14,286$9,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…9985backed Yes | 5c | 13,968$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 17c | 13,960$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.43 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…1936backed Yes | 1c | 13,625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…b914backed Yes | 2c | 13,577$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.