Movies · resolved market
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fb01da8662e5eb2496b600bbe874d230f05f3e99b382f2791015ef55b464af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,699,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,100,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,699,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 4,523,719$10,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,682.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 1,189,468$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.17 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 0c | 714,046$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 0c | 571,733$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.2 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 336,642$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.04 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 299,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 259,178$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.36 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 179,950$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.85 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee23…10d2backed Yes | 0c | 150,053$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 140,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc142…8acabacked Yes | 0c | 134,860$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…5b9cbacked Yes | 0c | 107,043$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…cb97backed Yes | 0c | 85,250$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…fcbdbacked Yes | 0c | 80,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…022cbacked Yes | 0c | 72,333$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…580abacked Yes | 0c | 72,120$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…162fbacked Yes | 0c | 44,785$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…dde1backed Yes | 0c | 42,250$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…8497backed Yes | 0c | 34,480$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…eba7backed Yes | 0c | 32,563$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c32…013bbacked Yes | 0c | 31,650$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…bcb7backed Yes | 0c | 31,405$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…e6c4backed Yes | 0c | 31,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…ec55backed Yes | 0c | 31,163$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…8f2fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,025$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…0364backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…e3fabacked Yes | 0c | 30,975$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…4dacbacked Yes | 0c | 30,950$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…476bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,913$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…b3bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,800$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…7712backed Yes | 0c | 30,564$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2f…57e0backed Yes | 0c | 30,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…8840backed Yes | 0c | 30,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…8306backed Yes | 0c | 30,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…629bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,865$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…4690backed Yes | 0c | 29,650$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…e204backed Yes | 0c | 29,413$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…16d3backed Yes | 0c | 28,980$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…7049backed Yes | 0c | 28,775$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…1e08backed Yes | 0c | 28,690$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…6b93backed Yes | 0c | 28,500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3150…a834backed Yes | 0c | 28,475$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…b643backed Yes | 0c | 28,245$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…6e78backed Yes | 0c | 28,230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…a636backed Yes | 0c | 28,200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…bfcbbacked Yes | 0c | 28,096$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,835$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…def9backed Yes | 0c | 27,663$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…d1a7backed Yes | 0c | 27,313$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…826abacked Yes | 0c | 27,108$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…f8c3backed Yes | 0c | 27,100$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…fc35backed Yes | 0c | 26,963$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…db22backed Yes | 0c | 26,779$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…f3a3backed Yes | 0c | 26,513$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…723dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,390$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…a096backed Yes | 0c | 26,325$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…999cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,115$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…9aa2backed Yes | 0c | 26,110$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…5714backed Yes | 0c | 25,575$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…fc33backed Yes | 0c | 25,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 24,149$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…4e60backed Yes | 1c | 23,974$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 21,463$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9131…1fa2backed Yes | 0c | 21,253$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e8…3daebacked Yes | 0c | 18,313$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…83f1backed Yes | 0c | 16,313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…81cfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,288$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…61afbacked Yes | 0c | 16,021$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c8…b543backed Yes | 0c | 15,725$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0945…3d5ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,563$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5e…b452backed Yes | 0c | 15,563$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…5eb0backed Yes | 0c | 15,118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…33b4backed Yes | 0c | 15,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…e233backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 0c | 13,750$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…da3fbacked Yes | 1c | 13,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…d2e7backed Yes | 0c | 13,028$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,698$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…23bbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…8360backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…fec4backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…d43fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,698$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…b304backed Yes | 1c | 10,400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,321$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…8387backed Yes | 0c | 10,295$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 9,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe359…6e1ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,572$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…f0b3backed Yes | 0c | 8,817$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…1fe1backed Yes | 1c | 8,334$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…3ef8backed Yes | 0c | 7,667$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…6bd0backed Yes | 1c | 7,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…2cd9backed Yes | 0c | 7,505$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 6,994$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…bc50backed Yes | 0c | 6,912$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.