Movies · resolved market
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,929,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,618,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,929,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7be…3967backed Yes | 0c | 295,122$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 55c | 168,298$92,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,726.25 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 4c | 126,100$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +138%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 6c | 74,177$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.24 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed Yes | 1c | 69,628$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 16c | 59,698$9,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,293.57 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 51,259$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.13 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 28c | 49,682$13,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,890.73 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…4a6fbacked Yes | 0c | 46,856$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 10c | 46,652$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.74 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 38c | 44,316$16,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,860.56 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 36c | 40,058$14,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,346.6 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 34c | 39,211$13,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,409.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…7f34backed Yes | 15c | 38,147$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…1936backed Yes | 0c | 36,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Yes | 8c | 33,514$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 29c | 30,845$9,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,042.56 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes | 7c | 29,486$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes | 31c | 28,516$8,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,858.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…f3ffbacked Yes | 4c | 28,294$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 6c | 28,116$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.14 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…8f51backed Yes | 64c | 28,018$17,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,987.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 27c | 26,526$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…5798backed Yes | 8c | 25,419$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 23c | 25,414$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.09 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 7c | 25,063$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b7d0backed Yes | 22c | 24,450$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…22dabacked Yes | 12c | 24,351$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…a21dbacked Yes | 33c | 23,427$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…901abacked Yes | 1c | 22,618$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…26c8backed Yes | 10c | 20,730$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…be93backed No | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8518…0a0cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…905cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…e93abacked Yes | 6c | 19,596$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e6…c6dbbacked Yes | 3c | 18,434$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes | 30c | 18,258$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 17,101$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 1c | 17,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 0c | 16,142$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 18c | 15,795$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 50c | 15,232$7,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,647.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…5634backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 58c | 14,867$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…8467backed Yes | 0c | 14,511$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 56c | 14,455$8,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,041.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…553dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,433$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…01bfbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 7c | 13,817$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…8a6dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,672$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 13,582$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…9187backed No | 36c | 13,400$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,598.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 12,361$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…2848backed No | 38c | 12,250$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…6338backed No | 38c | 12,100$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,562.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…8aadbacked Yes | 63c | 12,100$7,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,562.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 3c | 12,092$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.57 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 18c | 11,661$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.86 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…d93bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,587$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 21c | 11,075$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.78 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…c9bebacked Yes | 62c | 11,050$6,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,851 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f4…43f3backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…7481backed Yes | 62c | 10,880$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 14c | 10,417$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…871abacked Yes | 62c | 10,320$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…b005backed Yes | 45c | 10,203$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,167$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…f7c5backed Yes | 62c | 10,090$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,301.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…efa6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…63f2backed Yes | 50c | 9,809$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,866.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 9c | 9,647$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.4 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…6e40backed Yes | 8c | 9,478$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed Yes | 9c | 9,424$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…f390backed Yes | 45c | 8,900$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…add2backed Yes | 55c | 8,600$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…e61fbacked No | 45c | 8,600$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,559$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…1f69backed Yes | 2c | 8,297$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…36ecbacked Yes | 9c | 8,107$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 5c | 8,000$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…b4ecbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5eb…f269backed Yes | 5c | 8,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 63c | 7,893$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…91f9backed Yes | 38c | 7,884$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 19c | 7,839$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.53 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 7,832$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.19 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 2c | 7,620$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…5165backed Yes | 3c | 7,500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 7,449$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.39 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…8e68backed Yes | 64c | 7,200$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Yes | 44c | 7,180$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 11c | 6,941$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.12 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…974abacked Yes | 6c | 6,870$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…f5f9backed Yes | 16c | 6,790$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…2399backed Yes | 4c | 6,630$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 28c | 6,616$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.96 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.