TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06e0…7934

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.2%+$845.59
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77.87
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$7,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$7,097.43
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.6
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$123.37
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$658.11
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.7%+$15.45
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$108
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,594.88
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,930.47
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43.32
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+400%+$160
Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$195.15
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,271.76
Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$41.04
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+27.2%+$191.32
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$726.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43%+$390
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+43.9%+$61
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+32.6%+$127.51
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38%+$37.97
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$602
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70.14
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,366.54
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27,481.77
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77.25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$841
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$129.99
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$43.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$141.78
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+250.1%+$327.62
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+113.8%+$270.92
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+294.3%+$235.46
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$252
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$68.19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.86
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$84
Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$71.5
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.24
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,612Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+55%+$886.45
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$247.29
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,238Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+27%+$604.94
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,695Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+69.1%+$7,389.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+30.3%+$146.76
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$93.47
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$142.6
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+123.4%+$1,234.15
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UL Monroe vs. Louisianabacked UL Monroe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$59.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. LSU Tigersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.2%+$89
Will CD Tondela win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$147.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+94.6%+$91.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$50.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.