Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36431e690125cda4f9df6ed89b3e6123d048f8d721fc0285f52bd0be4fe6212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked No | 80c | 13,503$10,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 6,500$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.93 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 76c | 5,629$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 24c | 4,042$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.7 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,805$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 2,506$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.26 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 20c | 1,989$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.83 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 691.99$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 24c | 654.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 25c | 400.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 25c | 118.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 27c | 74.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 46.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 71c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?No won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.