Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e658a173c3619d9ba0617456975f66cac3ed077455d50e472152ca37a924f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 60c | 32,752$19,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,651.35 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 9,271$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 340.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 267.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 203.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…1373backed Yes | 55c | 131.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 114.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 54c | 92.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 55c | 90.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…730abacked No | 55c | 73.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…9a99backed Yes | 56c | 71.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 48c | 56.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…540abacked No | 47c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…32f6backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 44.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…8c77backed No | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 54c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3faa…feb4backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 29.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…0160backed No | 61c | 21.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 68c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.