TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$385,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$420,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX30c27,376$8,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,126.334,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed paiN50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…80c3backed paiN49c14,193$6,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,238.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed paiN77c12,891$9,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.1446345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX40c12,560$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.691,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX50c11,747$5,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,873.525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX13c11,537$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.133,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked paiN50c9,990$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9952653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed 3DMAX24c8,565$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.164643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX49c8,037$3,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,961.7372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked 3DMAX9c7,492$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.384219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked 3DMAX50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50013633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX31c6,829$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.641,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked paiN50c6,042$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.769861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed 3DMAX49c5,726$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.669329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked 3DMAX14c5,624$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.8927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed paiN64c5,298$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.077349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed paiN69c4,374$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.872965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed 3DMAX50c4,212$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed 3DMAX50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX46c3,950$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.11,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7c…981cbacked 3DMAX50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9004334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed paiN50c3,789$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.58446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed 3DMAX51c3,725$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9006546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN51c3,682$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.351,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked paiN50c3,300$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63932552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed paiN76c3,300$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.998657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN51c3,143$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.241,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 3DMAX30c3,100$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.9961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc819…2905backed paiN51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…d685backed 3DMAX50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked paiN51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1827452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked paiN49c2,478$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.6883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed 3DMAX25c2,284$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed 3DMAX51c2,232$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.2811428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX34c2,211$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.863,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed paiN68c2,117$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.272958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb615…5baebacked 3DMAX50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked 3DMAX51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked 3DMAX50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed 3DMAX3c1,991$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.78812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-72.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed 3DMAX51c1,957$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked 3DMAX16c1,719$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.222722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed 3DMAX27c1,586$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1721139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea4…b7b2backed paiN49c1,520$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a56…5c8bbacked paiN49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed 3DMAX17c1,477$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked 3DMAX39c1,380$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.49141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…a5fabacked paiN70c1,341$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 3DMAX32c1,291$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.142,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398c…1566backed 3DMAX51c1,232$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed 3DMAX38c1,194$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed 3DMAX16c1,186$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.833333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN50c1,178$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x181b…25b7backed paiN50c1,160$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed 3DMAX13c1,157$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed 3DMAX14c1,156$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7924155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a7…6a3bbacked 3DMAX13c1,105$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.64119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed paiN49c1,081$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.2945848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked paiN49c1,063$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.1329855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa708…cff4backed paiN50c1,060$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed 3DMAX49c1,058$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.775736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed 3DMAX27c1,021$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6492152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed 3DMAX35c1,004$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505149%25 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked paiN50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed paiN50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed paiN50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed 3DMAX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a64…feccbacked paiN49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b36…9274backed 3DMAX51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked paiN50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed paiN50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed paiN48c999.97$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9953746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2618…4094backed 3DMAX51c988$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed 3DMAX51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…5a2ebacked paiN49c966$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed 3DMAX52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed 3DMAX50c948.3$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1511758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed 3DMAX14c944$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.164562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked paiN48c921.91$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX19c900$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.221,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked 3DMAX43c897.51$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.567552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed9d…8301backed 3DMAX50c845$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.682356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed 3DMAX51c838.9$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42420050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked 3DMAX20c820$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed 3DMAX49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39221846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked paiN49c780.59$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.120855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked 3DMAX32c774.95$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.085431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x87ed…0b7dbacked 3DMAX51c770$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed 3DMAX14c769$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6619247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked paiN49c764.53$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.911,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1a…61f2backed 3DMAX51c760$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked 3DMAX14c757.14$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10619834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked 3DMAX21c750$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.514239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b4…5193backed 3DMAX51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.56454.7%35 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6af8…61e5backed 3DMAX51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3b…366abacked 3DMAX51c740$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed paiN54c737.49$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4913461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed 3DMAX36c717$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.092045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.