TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6bd…b05a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT19834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.21
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$343.47
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.71
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$235.31
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$396
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+226.8%+$260.42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$208.21
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.98
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$168.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.97
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.61
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.74
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.28
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-83.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$660.75
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$241.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,352.39
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,798
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$701.32
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+146.6%+$237.59
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$291.34
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$143.01
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$759
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$528.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+271.2%+$1,356.01
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,932Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$2,211.75
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,333.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.65
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+182.6%+$365.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$311
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$28.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,807Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,419.88
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,499.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$436.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+131%+$1,179.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$415
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.