Token Launches · resolved market
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a72386f277b9fd632bc35e451fcdae2b3704e4ecb58868517d73ff0253bf9ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 9,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…6da0backed Yes | 75c | 4,111$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…5c12backed Yes | 75c | 4,007$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed No | 15c | 3,976$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.08 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 24c | 2,323$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.78 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…e7d0backed Yes | 45c | 2,300$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.96 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed Yes | 54c | 2,266$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.83 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 47c | 2,019$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.54 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…1b0bbacked No | 7c | 1,526$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…77d6backed Yes | 39c | 1,436$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.01 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 48c | 1,282$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…93f1backed Yes | 75c | 1,256$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 1,224$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 1,183$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 5c | 1,029$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…a4e3backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…7708backed No | 35c | 914.03$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 22c | 910.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25be…b4abbacked Yes | 79c | 907.68$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb095…8184backed Yes | 63c | 808.32$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 25c | 777$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed No | 3c | 750$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ee…4469backed Yes | 70c | 716.87$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 73c | 679.16$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked No | 34c | 664.87$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef5…5408backed No | 13c | 641.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…2a67backed No | 62c | 631.24$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed No | 17c | 607.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed No | 19c | 601.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fca…7033backed No | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 11c | 570$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 80c | 543.37$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 536.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked No | 15c | 504.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…53b4backed No | 16c | 479$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 29c | 459.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…4833backed No | 32c | 452.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…4b5abacked No | 21c | 400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes | 41c | 399.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 23c | 379.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Yes | 39c | 371.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 36c | 356.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed No | 7c | 355$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +698.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…b4a2backed No | 8c | 354.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…b7c0backed No | 59c | 339.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…1b20backed No | 62c | 325$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked No | 62c | 323.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 20c | 309.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 287.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.34 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…ff27backed No | 32c | 264.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…0459backed No | 59c | 254.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…245bbacked No | 40c | 248.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…fe94backed No | 25c | 247.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Yes | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…6663backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…d5a7backed No | 54c | 184.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…6f8ebacked No | 33c | 181.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 48c | 177.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…f84ebacked No | 57c | 173.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…df08backed No | 35c | 173.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa358…1b02backed No | 59c | 170.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ebd7backed No | 59c | 170.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…d288backed No | 59c | 170.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…10febacked No | 59c | 169.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…e75fbacked No | 61c | 165.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…87ffbacked No | 61c | 163.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…f80abacked No | 62c | 162.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89c…b71dbacked No | 62c | 162.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…5cd0backed No | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 61c | 149.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…3597backed Yes | 67c | 147.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…ffb4backed No | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f6ffbacked No | 35c | 141.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 139.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9446backed No | 20c | 137.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…a4c0backed No | 32c | 129.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed No | 33c | 120.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…1ec7backed No | 42c | 120.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 56c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed No | 10c | 114.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…6511backed No | 45c | 111.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4b77backed No | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…7afabacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 44c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…58dcbacked No | 56c | 88.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 53c | 85.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked No | 45c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…89e2backed No | 63c | 79.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8732…7a34backed No | 64c | 77.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…01c9backed Yes | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 50c | 72.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…38a6backed No | 58c | 69.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?this page
- Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Infrared launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.