TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by KO/TKO?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No80c55,540$44,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,123.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick30cpaid+247.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa8c…a715backed Yes20c50,000$9,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,959.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f74…14d0backed Yes20c40,334$7,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,995.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes23c16,737$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.221225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes20c9,040$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No76c5,226$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.181050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes1c5,100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68110%0 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes20c5,072$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed No76c4,984$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.38862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes19c4,680$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.31933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…59e4backed Yes20c3,972$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No79c3,371$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes20c3,335$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No77c2,578$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.543330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…3984backed Yes21c2,458$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf573…f96abacked Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc122…731fbacked Yes20c1,518$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29970%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c1…d67bbacked Yes19c1,517$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.311020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…2de4backed Yes27c1,499$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No74c1,447$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.745345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes13c1,156$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No79c1,040$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.35366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed No79c1,001$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ecb…c20fbacked Yes19c989.84$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f43…4f5ebacked Yes9c921$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.53520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bfc…51d8backed Yes19c912.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6f…740abacked Yes20c882.65$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No76c882$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.68366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf5…ef29backed Yes18c818.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No76c666$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.842552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes10c594.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes19c583.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…904fbacked Yes19c542.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc561…f207backed Yes20c530.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No78c498.73$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.291656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c489$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.224820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a45…60d6backed Yes20c429.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked No76c427$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes17c410.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…5218backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…c40fbacked Yes20c372.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae3…47ccbacked Yes19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No80c300$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes23c300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f33…5e33backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yes20c267.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eaa…96bdbacked Yes19c256.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5580%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ac4…7412backed Yes19c234.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No77c230$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1470backed Yes21c225$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e24…18a7backed Yes21c218.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4184…393bbacked Yes23c214.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3086…e5e1backed Yes22c205.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da1…980bbacked Yes18c198.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc3…8efabacked Yes25c178.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Yes16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5c…d7b0backed Yes19c155.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No79c147.62$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc907…ef28backed Yes20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2860%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c01…67f8backed Yes26c138$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…0b8fbacked Yes19c135$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6198…d0ffbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf99…000ebacked Yes18c114.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb509…813fbacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee4…3337backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf756…f582backed Yes20c108.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…23f8backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd4…8728backed Yes19c102.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fd…78b2backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c98…7910backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc489…a47abacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c3…d812backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fc…38c2backed Yes20c93.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9513…a6a2backed Yes21c93.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4271…4204backed Yes19c91.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…fa24backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x251d…f31dbacked Yes20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x647e…7513backed Yes18c88.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629e…5087backed Yes23c86.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04b…655dbacked Yes21c85.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e5…4323backed Yes24c81.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c28…853cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718f…15b1backed Yes26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…6b37backed Yes17c69.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa058…520abacked No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.295100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x343d…cd2ebacked No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1d…8a69backed Yes20c55.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32d…7d1cbacked No80c53.67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ec…1bafbacked Yes20c50.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae4…1eb3backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1508…6923backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.