Boxing · resolved market
Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417f9f21e57bf167317759744bb1e2f40a423494610deabbe0e4351b1bfd1348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 8c | 39,126$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 7c | 36,940$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 8c | 17,412$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…5734backed Yes | 7c | 7,385$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 4c | 5,972$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,629$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Yes | 6c | 4,466$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 6c | 3,347$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…71cdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 5c | 2,546$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,001$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…e13dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,975$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…965dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82e…7fc0backed Yes | 7c | 1,656$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…166fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,399$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…73a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…c20fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…d812backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,192$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…73acbacked Yes | 9c | 1,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…49c0backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Yes | 6c | 979.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…394abacked Yes | 8c | 950$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…4f5ebacked Yes | 7c | 836.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 11c | 680.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 9c | 630.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4982backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 6c | 605.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b20…1284backed Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee4…3337backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 7c | 474$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…ca93backed Yes | 12c | 430.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…c40fbacked Yes | 14c | 415.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…05e0backed Yes | 8c | 400.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…7772backed Yes | 8c | 396.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…a3b1backed Yes | 13c | 296.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…b29dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…da84backed Yes | 18c | 275.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…ccf3backed Yes | 6c | 269.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…f96abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 7c | 229.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…813fbacked Yes | 9c | 223.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf210…9239backed Yes | 7c | 205.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…7412backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…590dbacked Yes | 7c | 197.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…ef28backed Yes | 6c | 176.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…52b8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…7badbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…70d1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw?this page
- Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by KO/TKO?No won
- Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?No won
- Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by KO/TKO?No won
- Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by Points or Decision?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.