Boxing · resolved market
Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by KO/TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b042c562ceb1fc2bbd5240aee74532d879ef38170cff22301a0c0327f29f3b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 8c | 100,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Yes | 9c | 18,985$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…8523backed Yes | 5c | 12,406$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…49c0backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…5734backed Yes | 9c | 8,153$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,502$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…73a9backed Yes | 9c | 4,061$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…f96abacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Yes | 9c | 2,860$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 6c | 2,837$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 9c | 1,975$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…4ec8backed Yes | 8c | 1,396$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…273bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,214$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…c20fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 10c | 1,005$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…4204backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…85abbacked Yes | 13c | 851.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…7412backed Yes | 9c | 714.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…6d0dbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…240abacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…4f5ebacked Yes | 8c | 619.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yes | 8c | 580.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 9c | 569.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 12c | 504.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 9c | 502$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…cd7fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 420$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Yes | 9c | 372.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…a60cbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…d792backed Yes | 9c | 305.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…c94dbacked Yes | 10c | 271.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…aaa0backed Yes | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…23f8backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…03f6backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…81fcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…8009backed Yes | 8c | 193.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 9c | 191.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…ca93backed Yes | 13c | 153.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…ef28backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…8626backed Yes | 9c | 117.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…3beabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…a090backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by KO/TKO?this page
- Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw?No won
- Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by KO/TKO?No won
- Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?No won
- Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by Points or Decision?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.