TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No58c26,576$15,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,169.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick30cpaid+247.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe55b…5cc5backed Yes42c23,824$10,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,005.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d6…d716backed Yes41c12,166$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbf…9020backed Yes42c11,231$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes40c9,041$3,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes2c5,100$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90110%0 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes39c4,017$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.72933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Yes42c4,000$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes39c2,606$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes42c2,505$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f32…1532backed Yes43c2,115$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes40c2,090$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-80.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd5…c8f1backed Yes39c1,837$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d2…7772backed Yes25c1,474$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f43…4f5ebacked Yes31c1,448$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.92520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes24c1,305$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8319…73acbacked Yes42c1,110$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes41c931.32$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x982b…983cbacked Yes40c881$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…c40fbacked Yes42c880.95$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf5…ef29backed Yes39c846.42$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes39c816.55$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eaa…96bdbacked Yes43c814.59$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc122…731fbacked Yes41c728.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x253f…edf9backed Yes43c706.98$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed No60c700$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No57c631.88$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.051656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No54c601.77$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.85345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4016…c9e2backed Yes43c564.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae3…47ccbacked Yes41c560.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09c…383dbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Yes42c476.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc68c…5e43backed Yes42c473.48$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes41c404.88$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes38c363.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.084820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x052b…625fbacked Yes42c298.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No73c259.38$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.543330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes42c250.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Yes39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.53951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+69.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85c…ac6cbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdad…abc7backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe280…ed39backed Yes40c241.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2b…3945backed Yes41c241$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9366…7699backed Yes42c234.6$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe4…52b8backed Yes40c222.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-69.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2a…c07dbacked Yes43c220.81$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Yes38c203.65$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes41c194.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-14.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf573…f96abacked Yes40c161.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ab…493bbacked Yes40c132.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+79%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7881…4568backed Yes39c128.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a6…276fbacked Yes40c126.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9be9…c030backed No60c125.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes40c123.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f15…3a7dbacked Yes41c121.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes41c119.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd59d…59cbbacked Yes40c119.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Yes37c118.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.411145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a36…2491backed Yes43c113.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2836…c511backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b2…05e0backed Yes41c99.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaca…5a0fbacked Yes41c97.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…2e8ebacked Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a8…db3dbacked Yes41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcd…df2abacked Yes39c79.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5414…02cabacked Yes41c77.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae53…c2b5backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e7…81fcbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fc…38c2backed Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0013…7684backed Yes42c71.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7377…3c4cbacked Yes42c67.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…98fcbacked Yes41c62.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+112.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb509…813fbacked Yes41c60.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a37…2c6dbacked Yes41c60.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc9…3b7abacked Yes28c56.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd98d…3649backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…fa24backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac94…8d12backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8109…e840backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee4…3337backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4271…4204backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3506…62b1backed Yes40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c8…4a62backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe3…d6cdbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes41c40.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec1…86ecbacked Yes43c40.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e6…e838backed No55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+176.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf25f…372bbacked Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.